Tunisia's fledgling democracy, the only one remaining from the popular revolutions that swept the Arab world a decade ago, was on the brink of collapse yesterday after its president sought to seize power from the rest of the government in what his political opponents denounced as a coup.
President Kais Saied, who announced the power grab late on Sunday, did not appear to have completely succeeded in taking control as of Monday evening, as chaos enveloped the North African country. But many Tunisians expressed support for him and even jubilation over his actions, frustrated with an economy that never seemed to improve and a pandemic that has battered hospitals in recent weeks.
With Syria, Yemen and Libya undone by civil war, Egypt's attempt at democracy crushed by a counter-revolution and protests in the Gulf States quickly extinguished, Tunisia was the only country to emerge from the Arab Spring revolutions with a democracy, if a fragile one.
But the nation where the uprisings began now finds even the remnants of its revolutionary ideals in doubt, posing a major test for the Biden administration's commitment to democratic principles abroad.
In Washington, officials did not cast the Tunisia events as a coup, but said they were following events with concern. "Tunisia must not squander its democratic gains," the State Department said in a statement. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, in a phone call on Monday with Saied, encouraged him "to adhere to the principles of democracy and human rights," a spokesperson said.
Defying the Tunisian president, Prime Minister Hichem Mechichi said he would hold a cabinet meeting even after Saied announced the dismissal of him and several ministers. Parts of Parliament said they would meet virtually, even as soldiers cordoned off the Parliament building.
But the danger remained that Saied would back up his power grab with greater force, whether by further deploying the military or arresting top officials.
"This is a very concerning development that puts the democracy at great risk of unravelling," said Safwan Masri, executive vice president of Columbia University's Global Centres network, who studies Tunisia. Referring to Saied, he said, "An optimistic scenario would be that the Parliament and the Constitution and democratic institutions would prevail and that he would be forced out of office. But I would not bet money on it."
Already, Saied has announced that he was assuming the public prosecutor's powers and stripping lawmakers of immunity.
The Qatari-funded news channel Al-Jazeera, which is politically aligned with Tunisia's leading party, Ennahda — one of Saied's chief antagonists — said on Monday that 20 plainclothes security officers had forced its staff members to leave the bureau in Tunis, the capital, confiscating the keys and barring their re-entry without a court order.
It was a sharp escalation of a months-long political crisis that has been brewing since Tunisians toppled dictator Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali in January 2011.
While Tunisia may have achieved many of the trappings of a democracy, it has struggled with high unemployment, a sluggish economy and corruption.
Protests and strikes frequently hit the country, and popular discontent widened the gap between elites who praised Tunisia's democratic gains and Tunisians who simply wanted to improve their lot.
The coronavirus pandemic made things worse by devastating Tunisia's tourist industry. The virus has shaken the government and the health system even further in recent weeks as Tunisians have died of Covid-19 at the highest rate in the Middle East and Africa.
On Sunday, demonstrators across Tunisia called for the dissolution of Parliament, giving Saied some popular cover to announce that night that he was firing Mechichi, freezing Parliament for 30 days and assuming executive authority.
Ennahda, which has consistently attracted support in parliamentary elections but has proved divisive because of its Islamist background and failures to improve the economy, called his actions "a coup against the Tunisian democracy and its Constitution" and "a betrayal of every Tunisian." It urged Saied to reverse his decisions immediately.
"Tunisia is the last ember of the Arab Spring, now snuffed out," Said Ferjani, an Ennahda member of Parliament, said, calling on US President Joe Biden to show his commitment to democracy.
"Does it really matter for him?" he asked.
On Monday afternoon, Parliament was closed off, with a heavy police presence outside and soldiers inside. Crowds gathered in front of the building, about 200 Ennahda supporters on one side and about 150 Saied supporters on the other, some occasionally throwing water bottles and rocks at one another.
"We are with the rule of law and legitimacy," said Houda, 24, an archivist from Tunis who declined to give her full name because she works for the government. "If anyone wants to remove those in power, they can do it through voting, and not with a coup."
Among Saied's supporters was Amel Barhoumi, 30, who said that like many Tunisians, she was exhausted by endless political turmoil.
"We are so tired," she said. "We are not against democracy; we want change. Nobody trusts the political elite right now. I think the way the pandemic was handled was the last straw."
When Saied was elected in 2019 in what was the second free presidential vote in the country's history, many Tunisians hoped he could turn things around, seeing him as an incorruptible political outsider. Having ridden popular discontent to his power grab, however, it is unclear how he will now satisfy demands to solve Tunisia's many problems.
"It's not that Kais is so popular himself, it's people who just really, really hate the incumbent political elite," said Tarek Megerisi, a senior fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations. "They blame them for all the country's problems and think that they need to be removed."
The showdown was a long time coming, with Saied locked since his election in political infighting with Mechichi and the speaker of Parliament, Rachid Ghannouchi.
Saied has been hinting for months at expanding his authority by refusing to swear in ministers and blocking the formation of a constitutional court, raising alarm among opponents and political analysts.
In response to chaos in Tunisia's Covid-19 vaccination rollout last week and a surge in cases that has overwhelmed hospitals, Saied stripped control of Tunisia's coronavirus response from the Health Ministry and handed it to the military.
On Sunday night, Saied cited Article 80 of the Constitution, which he said permits the president exceptional powers. He said he had consulted both Mechichi and Ghannouchi and held an emergency meeting with other officials before acting.
Saied said he was doing so to preserve the country's "security and independence and to protect the normal operation of state institutions."
Article 80, however, accords the president such powers only if the country faces an imminent threat and only after the prime minister and Parliament speaker have been consulted. Ghannouchi denied that he had been.
In a statement, Ghannouchi deplored what he called a "coup" and described the suspension of Parliament as "unconstitutional, illegal and invalid." The assembly "remains in place and will fullfil its duty," he said.
In a televised statement, Saied said, "This is not a suspension of the Constitution." And he sounded an ominous warning to adversaries: "Whoever fires a single bullet, our armed and security forces will retaliate with a barrage of bullets."
Videos posted to social media showed crowds cheering, honking, ululating and waving Tunisian flags after the president's actions Sunday night. Other videos showed Saied wending through cheering supporters along the main thoroughfare of Tunis.
The next step for Tunisia is unclear. The country has so far failed to form the constitutional court, called for in the 2014 Constitution, that could adjudicate such disputes.
In his statement, Saied said cryptically that a decree would soon be issued "regulating these exceptional measures that the circumstances have dictated." Those measures, he said, "will be lifted when those circumstances change." He also fired the defence minister and acting justice minister Monday afternoon.
Tunisia's divisions reflect a wider split in the Middle East between regional powers that supported the Arab revolutions and the political Islamist groups that came to power at the time (Turkey and Qatar), and those that countered the uprisings (Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt). While Turkey and Qatar expressed concern on Monday, the others remained quiet.
This article originally appeared in The New York Times.
Written by: Vivian Yee
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