“We’ve been seeing a gradual increase in dengue in the Pacific for at least the last couple of decades. But looking at the last 10 years, what we tend to see is peaks in some years and then lower levels in other years.
“This year, so far, we’re up to two more than 18,000 suspected cases of dengue ... that’s the biggest number that we’ve had certainly in the last 10 years.
Of those, 12,040 were laboratory-confirmed cases.
Jacobs said the high case numbers were due to a range of factors, including the movement of people between Pacific nations.
“The virus that causes dengue fever basically lives in people and lives in mosquitoes. And so for a lot of the ... smaller Pacific countries, they haven’t got enough people for the virus to keep on circulating all the time.
“What tends to happen in those ... Pacific countries is, if there’s an outbreak somewhere else in the Pacific, or somewhere where there’s people moving to and from, someone might come into that country from another country [where] they’ve already been infected ... and bring the virus back.”
Climate change and shifting weather patterns in the region also increased the risk around dengue spread, he said. The lack of understanding around dengue hotspots was another risk factor.
“It’s actually most common in urban settings and semi-urban settings, so towns and villages where there’s quite a few people living. [That’s where] the mosquito is very comfortable living – in and around people’s houses.”
A breakdown of the WHO July data, showed spread of the disease had been highest in Fiji, which had 13,702 suspected cases, followed by Tonga (2087) and French Polynesia or Mā’ohi Nui (1079).
The data also showed numbers appeared to have peaked in March. However, in recent months, there had been a resurgence in spread of the virus. In particular, it had been found in previously unaffected nations like American Sāmoa, Nauru and Tuvalu.
Jacobs said the four different strains of dengue also added to challenges around preventing spread and illness. This was because immunity to dengue was generally dependent on individual strains.
“If you’ve been infected in the past with type one dengue, then you’re unlikely to get that sort of dengue again,” he said.
“But if a different strain of the dengue virus comes into the country some years later – dengue type two, for instance – then all the people who’ve been infected with type one before, who’ve been protected against getting type one again, they could all get type two.”
Jacobs said that transmission pattern often triggered big outbreaks. It also contributed to more severe illness from dengue.
“If somebody’s had dengue more than once, in other words, if they’ve had it with a couple of the different strains a few years apart, they’re the people most likely to get really, really severely ill with dengue.
“And so we see more of the severe dengue, more complications of dengue in those people.”
‘About 100 confirmed cases per week’ in Samoa
In Samoa, the acting director-general of health Tagaloa Dr Robert Thomsen said the government was prioritising mosquito spraying of areas and buildings where people gathered in its response.
These included schools and sites like the Victim Support centre and National University of Sāmoa, he said.
Tangaloa confirmed the recent dengue-related death was an 8-year-old girl. She died on Sunday, July 13. Misiafa Lene, 12, died in April after contracting dengue.
As of July 13, the number of laboratory-confirmed dengue cases was 1276 in Samoa.
“For the past three weeks – excluding this week – we’ve seen an increase of about 100 confirmed cases per week,” Tagaloa said.
“Our biggest challenge at the moment ... is the paediatric age group – children below 15 years of age. [They] appear to be the ones that are mostly affected.”
– RNZ
