Will KiwiBuild minister Phil Twyford lose his portfolio in tomorrow's Cabinet reshuffle? That's the big question, given that the Government's flagship housing programme has been so heavily discredited, and the accompanying debate about Twyford's role in the debacle and whether he's to blame.

It seems unlikely that Twyford will get the sack. Although Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has been unwilling to express her complete confidence in Twyford's KiwiBuild work, she has also recently claimed that he's done an "incredible job". She has also backed him by saying "I'm loath to see one individual carry any blame for what has