Macquarie has entered an agreement to buy ASX-listed Vocus Group - owner of Orcon and Slingshot on this side of the Tasman - in a A$3.5 billion ($3.7b) deal, subject to investor and regulatory approval.
The ASX-listed investment banking and infrastructure investment firm teamed with Aware Super - Australia's second-largest retirement fund - on its $5.50 per share offer.
In recommending shareholders accept the deal - set to close in July if all approvals go to plan - Vocus chairman Bob Mansfield said in a statement to the ASX that the board had considered it against alternatives, including pressing ahead with the plan to list Vocus' NZ business, then use the estimated $722 million proceeds to pay down debt.
Speaking to the Herald, Vocus NZ CEO Mark Callander added: "The NZ business is very well positioned for growth and that won't change. Unfortunately, the timing just did not allow for the IPO to be pursued at this time."
Callander added, "The goal has always been to improve the NZ business access to capital and now we have a couple of options on the table. The [Macqaurie/Aware Super] offer recognises the strength of the Vocus Group on both sides of the Tasman and the progress made in the last couple of years."
ASX-listed Macquarie has yet to make any comment on its plans for Vocus Group, if its bid is approved. But Australian media have already reported that plans for a Vocus NZ IPO were likely to be shelved by the owner. If it does revisit the idea of a Vocus NZ spin-off, it could be via a trade sale.
As things stand, Macquarie and Aware Super are aiming to have Overseas Investment Office approval to buy Vocus' NZ assets by June.
Vocus' NZ assets include retail internet service providers Orcon, Slingshot and Flip (bought from NZ's CallPlus for $250m in 2016); Stuff Fibre (bought from Nine earlier this year in a deal referenced at $8m in a Vocus filing); the nationwide fibre network formerly owned by FX Networks (bought in 2014 for $116m), data centres formerly owned by Maxnet (bought in 2012 for $10m and since upgraded) and small power retailer Switch Utilities.
The company is our third-largest broadband provider and in line for a customer spike - having recently been named as Sky TV's partner for its pending broadband service.
Goldman Sachs, Craigs and Jarden had been appointed managers for the possible NZX float.
But now it could be that, for a second time, a big telco float on the NZX will be headed-off by a trade sale. In 2019, Vodafone's plan to list its NZ operation was nixed by a private offer from Infratil and Brookfield.
Vocus Group's ASX-listed shares were recently trading at A$5.45. On February 9, Vocus confirmed in a filing that it had received a non-binding bid from Macquarie Infrastructure and Real Assets Management (MIRA) of $5.50 a share - valuing Vocus at A$3.4b or a 25 per cent premium over its then stock price of A$4.38. MIRA is a unit of the ASX-listed Macquarie Group.
But that's all speculation. As things stand, MIRA (a division of ASX-listed Macquarie Group) has yet to look at Vocus' books, and the statement says there's no guarantee a binding bid will follow (since 2017, three other non-binding bids, all from private equity companies - EQT, KKR and Affinity - fell over during due diligence).
A busy few months has seen Vocus NZ buy Stuff Fibre, relaunch its budget-priced Flip brand, become the only major player to support Chorus' Hyperfibre product, expand its partnership with Google, and reveal that it will be the partner for Sky TV's soon-to-launch Sky Broadband service.
The Stuff Fibre acquisition bumped Vocus' NZ subscriber base up 10 per cent to around 226,000 (putting Vocus well ahead of 2degrees and Trustpower in fixed-line broadband, if still some distance being Vodafone NZ on around 420,000 and Spark on around 700,000).
For its 2020 financial year, Vocus Group reported that revenue for its New Zealand operation rose 6 per cent to NZ$398.8m for the year to June 30, while ebitda rose 4 per cent to NZ$65.4m.
It was the NZ operation's fifth straight year of operating earnings growth, helping to explain the apparent expectation of its IPO at a A$700m market cap - a substantially higher valuation than the reported A$500m price tag when Vocus tried to sell its NZ business in 2018 (it was ultimately withdrawn from sale).