Stephen Buzdygan, a former British Airways pilot, said if the plane had entered the water upside down, it may have hit severe turbulence and stalled before either gliding down or spinning out of control. The water depth of 25m would suggest it might not have flipped after entry, he said.
"If it's upside down in shallow water, that would suggest the aircraft became disoriented. I would suggest there was some sort of upset to the aircraft - severe downdraughts or clear-air turbulence. I've flown through thunderstorms there and it's not pleasant. The vertical air draughts can impose enormous stress on the aircraft."
An unnamed source familiar with the investigation into the AirAsia disaster claimed it made an "unbelievably" steep climb before it crashed. This would lend more weight to the suggestion the plane stalled, or lost the ability to gain lift and fly, effectively becoming a dead weight in the sky. "This rate of climb is very high, too high. It appears to be beyond the performance envelope of the aircraft," the source said.
Some analysts have speculated the plane may have suffered a similar fate to Air France 447, which crashed into the Atlantic Ocean in 2009 after its speed detectors froze during a storm.
That crash, along with other similar incidents involving attempts by planes to avoid storms, led to increased training for pilots in dealing with stalls and loss of instruments. It's not known whether Iryanto, the AirAsia pilot, had such training. The crash has renewed concerns that an over-reliance on automated flying has left pilots less able to cope with emergencies and loss of instruments.
- Telegraph Group Ltd, AFP