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'A black eye': Why political polling missed the mark. Again

By David Leonhardt
New York Times·
11 mins to read
'A black eye': Why political polling missed the mark. Again
'A black eye': Why political polling missed the mark. Again

As politics becomes a high-stakes spectator sport, pollsters are reviewing their latest failures. But is part of the problem the public's overly high expectations of precision?

Senator Susan Collins did not lead in a single publicly released poll during the final four months of her reelection campaign in Maine. But

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