NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Sport / Rugby / Super Rugby

SOS: Proof the Blues have had the toughest Super Rugby draw

By Niall Anderson
NZ Herald·
12 Jul, 2016 05:38 PM4 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

The Blues have had the toughest draw in Super Rugby when comparing the average wins of opponents. Photo / Getty

The Blues have had the toughest draw in Super Rugby when comparing the average wins of opponents. Photo / Getty

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

It is crunch time to determine the playoff placings in Super Rugby, and some teams could be left ruing their luck when the week concludes.

While that luck can take many forms, the largest factor in the Super Rugby season has been the luck of the draw, which has lifted some teams to playoff spots which could soon prove to be unearned.

It may be a stretch to call it luck in some cases - we knew from the start that the system gifted a big advantage to the teams residing in the Africa 1 conference, who faced no clashes against New Zealand sides.

However, we can see through calculating each team's strength of schedule just how easy their run through the season has been.

For the uninitiated, strength of schedule (SOS) is a figure which calculates the difficulty of each team's opponents, when compared to other sides. It is a statistic which has proved to be more valuable this season, where teams can go the whole season playing some teams twice while avoiding certain others.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

It is worth noting that by design, the lesser sides in the competition have their strength of schedules slightly inflated because they are the defeated teams giving victories to the top sides, therefore improving their opponent's records. For example, that is why the Blues - who would rank highly regardless - top the list after losing five Kiwi derbies to teams who have all reached the 10-win mark.

Nigel Yalden: Super Rugby Team of the Week

However, that small portion does not account for the creampuff schedule enjoyed by the Stormers, Bulls and Cheetahs - only one of whom have managed to capitalise on it in a meaningful way. Comparatively the Sharks - recipients of the fifth hardest schedule - have battled hard and could make a comprehensive case for being the best non-Lions South African side this season, despite lagging seven points behind the Stormers on the ladder.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The system which was meant to provide an easier entry into the league for the Sunwolves (and the Kings) has done so in part, but has had the flow-on effect of shielding the Bulls and Stormers from the class of the competition.

The Bulls in particular are completely undeserving of a playoff berth, having the second easiest schedule in the league - one which many teams would have utilised to cakewalk their way into the playoffs. While they will likely miss out on the playoffs, the Stormers have locked in a home playoff despite facing no New Zealand sides. Whether they would be in this position regardless will be found out when they get to host a Kiwi team in a quarterfinal next week.

It is not just the New Zealand teams wistfully gazing at the schedules of teams in the Africa 1 conference - the much maligned Australian Super Rugby sides have been recipients of a much tougher slate than their African rivals. The Force and the Reds have battled through schedules with several trips to New Zealand, while the Brumbies should pip the Waratahs for a spot in the playoffs after both sides received a fair allotment of Kiwi conquests.

Luatua puts himself back in All Blacks frame

Discover more

Super Rugby

Stevenson: Australia's rugby struggles no laughing matter

12 Jul 06:05 AM
All Blacks

Paul: Super Rugby issues to impact NZ player welfare

12 Jul 07:15 AM
Super Rugby

Luatua puts himself back in ABs frame

12 Jul 05:00 PM
Super Rugby

Laumape set to be warrior for Canes

12 Jul 05:00 PM

Amongst the New Zealand contenders, the Chiefs and Highlanders have had the toughest schedules - a figure that will only rise when they face each other on Saturday, while the Crusaders and Hurricanes have faced league-average slates.

The league-leading Lions have had it better than most, with the easiest strength of schedule outside of the Africa 1 conference, but have at least had to take on Kiwi contenders - thrashing the Blues and edging the Chiefs, while coming close to toppling the Crusaders and being battered by the Hurricanes.

Strength of schedule doesn't factor in the differing travel schedules that each team faces, which varies greatly across the 18 franchises. According to the Twitter account @JapanRugbyClub, the Sunwolves will cover 80,277km during the season, while the Blues rank midtable in distance covered.

Whether strength of schedule is a supremely meaningful indicator will be tested in the playoffs, where the Stormers will finally face a Kiwi side, and the Lions could be charged with beating two consecutive Kiwi teams to raise the trophy. However, their relatively easy schedules have given them pivotal home advantages, which could tip the odds in their favour.

Will their relatively painless regular seasons and home advantage be deciding factors come playoff time, or will they be in for a rude awakening?

We will find out next weekend.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Save

    Share this article

Latest from Super Rugby

New Zealand

'Two bits of gold': How ballet and sumo transformed the All Blacks

12 Jul 05:00 PM
Premium
Business|companies

Whānau Ora funds probe: Pasifika Futures’ family ties questioned

03 Jul 05:00 PM
Super Rugby

Moana Pasifika’s owners 'strongly reject' misuse of public funding claims amid probe

28 Jun 04:55 AM

From early mornings to easy living

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Super Rugby

'Two bits of gold': How ballet and sumo transformed the All Blacks

'Two bits of gold': How ballet and sumo transformed the All Blacks

12 Jul 05:00 PM

The All Blacks learned to reduce 'turf toe' from the Royal New Zealand Ballet.

Premium
Whānau Ora funds probe: Pasifika Futures’ family ties questioned

Whānau Ora funds probe: Pasifika Futures’ family ties questioned

03 Jul 05:00 PM
Moana Pasifika’s owners 'strongly reject' misuse of public funding claims amid probe

Moana Pasifika’s owners 'strongly reject' misuse of public funding claims amid probe

28 Jun 04:55 AM
'So much life in me': Hurricanes player's partner has 'rare and aggressive' cancer

'So much life in me': Hurricanes player's partner has 'rare and aggressive' cancer

27 Jun 12:25 AM
Solar bat monitors uncover secrets of Auckland’s night sky
sponsored

Solar bat monitors uncover secrets of Auckland’s night sky

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP