The National Party is in a state of limbo as it begins its second conference under Simon Bridges' leadership.

It hasn't made up its mind what to do about him.

It hasn't decided to ditch him and it hasn't decided to keep him.


The chances are about 50-50 at present one way or another.

To replace him at the wrong time and with the wrong person would trigger a state of resistance and infighting that would render the move counter-productive.

If Bridges is to be challenged or forced to resign, there has to be a trigger that almost everyone