Don't write National out of the next election yet. There's still a trick that could make all the difference.
Both Jesus and National need the same thing. A new political party. Jesus needs a party his followers can vote for. National needs a party to form coalition with.
Getting that party up and running in less than 18 months? That's miracle stuff.
Before we get into that, let's accept that National will lose badly next year if nothing changes.
National can talk up its shiny 40+ vote all it likes. As impressive as it is, it's still way behind