Buyers beset by high fuel prices are downsizing vehicles or opting for the smaller of two engine choices. And carmakers are shrinking vehicles and engines to meet tougher 2016 federal fuel economy rules.
The carmaker push and consumer pull are reshaping the American car market. Making engines simultaneously smaller, more powerful and more fuel-efficient costs a bundle because manufacturers must combine multiple technologies such as turbocharging, direct injection and variable-valve timing, said Michael Omotoso, J.D. Power's senior manager of global powertrain forecasting.
Carmakers are even preparing to test demand for three-cylinder engines.
Ford will use a one-litre turbocharged three-cylinder engine in the Ford Fiesta in the US.
BMW will use a three-cylinder in the Mini.
Kregg Wiggins, senior vice-president of Continental's North American powertrain division, expects engine sizes to shrink, with the percentage of engines that are under two litres doubling over the next six or seven years.
In 2017, Continental forecasts, 3.4 million engines installed in North American-built vehicles will have a displacement of less than two litres, up from 1.2 million in 2010.
With sales forecast to grow, that would mean one in five vehicles would have a two-litre or smaller engine in 2017, up from one in 10 in 2010.