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Home / New Zealand

Higher the numbers, bigger the prize: expert

Herald on Sunday
5 Nov, 2011 04:30 PM2 mins to read

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Many people take birthday numbers. Photo / Dean Purcell

Many people take birthday numbers. Photo / Dean Purcell

New advice has been issued for Lotto punters wanting to hook a big prize - choose high numbers.

Kiwis buy about a million tickets each week but this latest tip will have come too late for those chasing last night's $15 million Powerball.

The odds of winning - an outlay of $6 buys a one in a 383,838 chance of hitting the Lotto jackpot - won't change whichever numbers you pick, but you will lessen your chances of having to share the top prize.

Two weeks ago, a $2 million prize was divided by three tickets - meaning each went home with just under $670,000. Most people would be comfortable with that sort of return, but if splitting your millions doesn't tickle your fancy, AUT University's probability expert, Dr Robin Hankin, has a tip: Don't pick your own numbers.

"People aren't very good at choosing random numbers. We go for our date of birth or children's age or lucky number seven and, the problem is, a lot of others will pick those numbers too." If you must pick your own, he suggests avoiding numbers below 31, or at least 12, to get away from "date" numbers.

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Hankin added consecutive numbers were good too, because other people tended not to "like the look of them".

Just don't lazily pick one, two, three, four, five and six - it's somewhat of an exception with 1725 individual tickets for the draw two weeks ago carrying this sequence. If those numbers came in, a standard $1 million prize would dwindle to just $571.71 per person.

But there was one curve ball his probability formulas couldn't account for: Despite everything, numbers one and seven were the most common numbers to fall out of the wheel in New Zealand.

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"That's what we would call statistically significant ... because that would be very special," he said.

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