But if all of that is true, it appears to offer a yawning opportunity for competitors to come into the market.
What is to stop an entrepreneur from challenging the existing duopoly of Fletchers and Carter Holt Harvey by employing enough builders and other trades people to take on projects of the scale the Government is planning and importing the materials independently? The Government forest planting and regional development plans also offer more scope for the manufacture of materials here.
Perhaps the Government should be also putting more investment into training of builders and related trades, ideally through apprenticeships rather than purely polytech courses. Apprenticeships not only enable young people to acquire skills faster and earn incomes sooner, they subsidise the rapid expansion of small-scale building firms.
The "dog and a ute" days were a product of an industry vulnerable to fluctuations in demand. Builders could enter or leave the industry with minimal capital outlay. But those days are long gone.
Demand for house building and renovation has been strong for the past 15 years or more, thanks to low interest rates and the rising investment value of real estate before and after the global financial crisis. When building stalled briefly after the crisis, renovation too over. The demand should have brought legions of skilled labour into the industry yet after a decade and half it is still hard to get a builder in Auckland.
Something is seriously wrong with the market and the Government needs to fix it. KiwiBuild could find its own sources of supply and give the industry a fright.