NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather forecasts

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
    • The Great NZ Road Trip
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
    • Cooking the Books
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • What the Actual
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business / Markets / Stock takes

Will Bega dispute stifle Fonterra’s Mainland sale plans? - Stock Takes

Jamie Gray
By Jamie Gray
Business Reporter·NZ Herald·
15 May, 2025 09:00 PM6 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

    Reminder, this is a Premium article and requires a subscription to read.

Sanford enjoyed a strong first-half result. Photo / Supplied

Sanford enjoyed a strong first-half result. Photo / Supplied

Will Fonterra’s legal wrangle with Australia’s Bega Cheese jeopardise the sale of Mainland?

Fonterra and Bega are locked in a legal dispute over trademark licensing, raising speculation that it could upset Fonterra’s plans to sell its consumer business.

Last November, Fonterra’s Australian arm sought a ruling that Fonterra’s divestment proposal would not impact the existing trademark licence agreements with Bega.

In the Australian Financial Review’s reporting of the case, Fonterra had argued it was concerned that “the likely price of any business sale will be jeopardised” if there was a risk that the Bega Cheese trademark could not be used by a prospective buyer.

The Supreme Court of New South Wales dismissed the case, but Fonterra has said it will appeal.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Australian media has speculated the ruling may potentially delay Fonterra’s proposed divestment, including the sale of its Oceania unit, as it could complicate the potential changes to the licence deal it has with Bega.

Meanwhile, Bega has expressed an interest in buying Fonterra’s Oceania businesses and sees itself as a natural acquirer.

Forsyth Barr senior analyst Matt Montgomerie said he doubted the impasse would have a material impact on any potential deal to sell Mainland, although clearly Fonterra would rather not have the complication.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

“Fonterra would have preferred to not have this issue hanging over them, but, in terms of the overall divestment, with Bega being just 6% of Mainland’s revenue, some of the press seems slightly exaggerated to us,” he said.

“It (Fonterra-Bega) has clearly been a partnership for some time - more than 20 years - but the ability for it to materially jeopardise a transaction I think is unlikely.

“But not having Bega - who clearly have some interest in the Oceania business - possibly means one less player in the overall bidding process, but I am not worried that it will impact the transaction greatly,” he said.

It’s a year ago now that Fonterra first announced its step-change in strategic direction.

Fonterra said at the time the process would take “at least” 12 to 18 months.

Earlier this month, French food group Lactalis lodged a proposal with the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission to acquire Fonterra’s global consumer business and its dairy ingredients and food services businesses in Australia.

As it stands, Lactalis has about 500 farmer-suppliers across New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia, Tasmania, Victoria and Western Australia.

Lactalis processes raw milk into dairy products such as fresh milk, cheeses, chilled yellow spreads and yoghurts, as well as dairy ingredients such as milk powders.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

It supplies products to retail and food services businesses through brands such as Pauls, Vaalia and Kraft.

While Fonterra’s “dual-track” sale process is for an initial public offer or a trade sale, Montgomerie says the latter is the most likely.

Hardening up

Ready-mix concrete (RMC) production has had a steady start to 2025, according to Stats NZ.

While volumes are still below 2024 levels, there are signs of stabilisation and even some life in the largest region, Auckland.

“This aligns with comments from listed construction-related companies, which expect modest improvement in activity over the second half of 2025,” Forsyth Barr said in a report.

Residential consents have stabilised, and recent Government announcements on health, education, and transport investment have seen the non-residential and infrastructure pipeline begin to firm up.

Fletcher Building’s upcoming investor day on June 24 is the next scheduled update from the listed building materials companies.

Jarden expects Fletcher Building management to detail its strategy for capital structure, its operating model, and a portfolio reset.

“With the infrastructure recovery slower than expected and residential markets still soft, we now forecast 2026 ebit [earnings before interest and tax] of $477m (from $528m).”

Jarden retains a “buy” rating on Fletcher.

“Our illustrative sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation implies Fletcher Building could be worth $4.60 per share, a 35% premium to the current share price, highlighting the potential for a bold portfolio strategy.”

Management had undertaken divisional profitability analysis, including branch-level reviews at PlaceMakers.

“We expect the messaging will be evolutionary rather than revolutionary, with recent under-performance framed as cyclical and the business positioned for recovery.”

Fletcher Building continues to assess various portfolio options. Laminex may be considered for monetisation, although market conditions complicate timing.

Housing may be restructured for a partial divestment, Forsyth Barr said.

NZ Steel remains under review, it added.

PlaceMakers is likely to be retained, with a clearer focus on commercial customers.

Jarden said the trading environment remains challenging, pushing the recovery beyond early 2026.

“Infrastructure activity is emerging but subject to delays.

“Commercial shows modest momentum, supported by projects such as Auckland Airport, wind farms, and data centres, one of the few areas where momentum is building.

“Residential remains under pressure, with a backlog of unsold stock.

“While an improvement is expected as interest rate cuts flow through in CY25 [calendar year 2025], underlying activity remains weak.”

Jarden estimated Auckland building activity fell by 26% in Fletcher Building’s 2025 financial year and forecasts a further 6% decline in 2026.

“Reflecting these headwinds, we have reduced our full year ebit forecast from $528m to $477m,” Jarden said.

Sanford’s haul

Shares in fishing company rallied 20c to $5.15 after the company reported a strong first half result.

For the six months to March, revenue hit $286m, up 3.6%.

Adjusted earnings before interest and tax came to $54m, up 40.3%.

Sanford’s net profit after tax shot up 110% to $34m.

Managing director David Mair said it was the company’s highest recent half-year adjusted ebit result.

“Our improvement has been supported by an expected excellent performance from the salmon business; an improving mussel result; despite challenges facing our wild-catch fleet,” he said.

Forbes new Contact CFO

Contact Energy has appointed Matt Forbes, its former head of corporate finance, as its chief financial officer.

Forbes has been acting CFO since predecessor Dorian Devers was appointed chief development and major projects officer in January.

Over the last 15 years, Forbes has worked across the business in generation, corporate finance, strategy and investor relations supporting capital raising, Contact 26 strategy, the Manawa acquisition and has helped to reshape Contact’s portfolio, the company said.

Jamie Gray is an Auckland-based journalist, covering the financial markets and the primary sector. He joined the Herald in 2011.

Save

    Share this article

    Reminder, this is a Premium article and requires a subscription to read.

Latest from Stock takes

Premium
Stock takes

Stock Takes: Will reporting season see the end of a bear market?

08 May 09:00 PM
Premium
Stock takes

Stock Takes: Rain not enough to stop dry weather from hurting NZ power company earnings

01 May 07:00 PM
Business|markets

Spark auctioning half its data centre business to fund $1b expansion push: report

01 May 12:09 AM

The Hire A Hubby hero turning handyman stereotypes on their head

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Stock takes

Premium
Stock Takes: Will reporting season see the end of a bear market?

Stock Takes: Will reporting season see the end of a bear market?

08 May 09:00 PM

Fisher and Paykel Healthcare will be the main event when it reports on May 28.

Premium
Stock Takes: Rain not enough to stop dry weather from hurting NZ power company earnings

Stock Takes: Rain not enough to stop dry weather from hurting NZ power company earnings

01 May 07:00 PM
Spark auctioning half its data centre business to fund $1b expansion push: report

Spark auctioning half its data centre business to fund $1b expansion push: report

01 May 12:09 AM
Tech Insider: Blackbird partner says Govt made mistake giving up on $300m Elevate fund

Tech Insider: Blackbird partner says Govt made mistake giving up on $300m Elevate fund

28 Apr 09:00 PM
Gold demand soars amid global turmoil
sponsored

Gold demand soars amid global turmoil

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • What the Actual
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven CarGuide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP