The shares last traded on the ASX at 77 Australian cents and have gained 58 per cent in the past 12 months. The stock is rated a 'hold' based on a Reuters survey of 11 analysts, with a median price target of 80 Australian cents.
Earnings in the latest period were "impacted by challenging retail markets and volume declines as a result of the company leading on price (in Australia) and also from a disappointing result from Fiji Poultry," it said.
"The company is now financially stronger with a much clearer focus on the core categories where there is capacity to leverage the company's leading brands and market positions to restore acceptable earnings growth," it said.
Earnings did pick up in the second half, with EBIT from continuing operations climbing 21 per cent on a turnaround in its baking business and improved performance from NZ Dairy.
The company's Project Renaissance project to cut annual costs by A$100 million by 2015 achieved annualised savings of A$65 million in the latest year.
Goodman's largest division by sales, baking, recorded a 3 per cent drop in sales toA$897.8 million and a 9 per cent drop in normalised EBIT to A$49.5 million. Its EBIT margin shrank to 5.5 per cent from 5.9 per cent.
The baking category, particularly in Australia, "remains challenging from the continued impact of private label, competitor and in-store baking competition on proprietary brands," it said. Private label are typically in-house brands used by supermarket chains.
Grocery sales fell 7 per cent to A$502.8 million and normalised EBIT dropped 12 per cent to A$63.4 million. The EBIT margin fell to 12.6 per cent from 13.4 per cent. The company cited subdued consumer sentiment in Australia, increased rivalry from proprietary and private label brands "which continued to put pressure on volumes and price."
Dairy sales fell 4 per cent to A$395.3 million though normalised EBIT jumped 18 per cent to A$37.7 million and its margin widened to 9.5 per cent from 7.8 per cent. The company said margins improved thanks to a more profitable product mix and "ongoing effective cost management."
In its outlook statement, it said the impact of higher farmgate milk pricing and aggressive competitor pricing is expected to have an impact on margins in NZ Dairy in the first quarter of the current year.
Its Asia Pacific division had a 1 per cent decline in sales to A$331.8 million and a 9 per cent drop in normalised EBIT to A$56.4 million. Its margin narrowed to 17 per cent from 18.7 per cent. It had already flagged problems at its poultry processing plant in Fiji and said stockfeed volumes fell in Papua New Guinea.