The White House announced last weekend that Trump would hold a second summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in February as the two sides seek to jump-start nuclear talks that have stalled since their historic first meeting in summer.
"North Korea 'basically wants to trade away things they won't do in the future, or to give up things from the past they don't need anymore, while not negotiating over things like this, their actual capabilities," said Cha, a former National Security Council official focused on Asian affairs.
Trump has said his own negotiating skills can bypass stalled talks among lower-level diplomats to strike a deal for North Korea to relinquish a nuclear weapons programme that analysts said can now reliably strike the US.
Experts have said there has been no demonstrable progress since the first summit in Singapore in June. Trump's claims that North Korea is a diminished threat have been contradicted by the Pentagon and US intelligence agencies. The White House declined to comment.
Of the 20 or so undeclared missile bases, CSIS researchers have located 13. In November, researchers released a report on the first of the 13 bases. Today's report describes the second.
The Sino-ri base is about 200km north of the DMZ, the report said. It served as one of the first bases for the country's most widely deployed ballistic missile, the Nodong medium-range ballistic missile. The base may have played a role in the development of the country's newest ballistic missile, unveiled in February 2017, shortly after Trump was inaugurated.
The base is most often referred to as a missile operating base. But "it has fulfilled broader missions" as an operational test and development site and training facility subordinate to the "Strategic Force of the Korean People's Army," the report said. The KPA Strategic Force is responsible for all ballistic missile tests.
Unlike other known North Korean ballistic missile operating bases, which are "nestled within narrow and steep mountain valleys," the main parts of this base are "distributed within a shallow valley and rolling hills," the report said. The base's 10 sq km comprise several small villages, including the one for which the facility is named.