NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / World

Dems feeling queasy over narrowing US election polls

By Sahil Kapur
Bloomberg·
14 Sep, 2016 09:05 PM7 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton needs a good finish. Photo / AP

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton needs a good finish. Photo / AP

Eight weeks from election day, US Democrats are feeling queasy about Hillary Clinton's narrowing national and battleground-state lead over Donald Trump.

A race some had considered a layup for Clinton yesterday showed Trump within 2.5 points in the RealClearPolitics average of polls.

The Democratic presidential nominee's stumbles over the weekend - from a botched response to a health incident to having to partially disavow her comment slamming "half" of Trump's supporters - has heightened concerns.

"I'm totally afraid. Donald Trump definitely has the chance to win. It's really close. Closing here in Pennsylvania and Florida," said Clinton Barnes of Philadelphia, who attended President Barack Obama's rally there yesterday for Clinton. "It's all spooky."

"Hillary's been her own worst enemy," he said. "People think she's dishonest."

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

After an incident on Monday when her campaign brushed off rumours that something was amiss until a video clip showed her dizzy and stumbling into a van after a 9/11 commemoration event, Ed Rendell, the former Governor of Pennsylvania, said Clinton would help herself by being more transparent.

"My advice is be transparent about everything and get it out early, because you minimise the damage you'll do by getting it out early," Rendell said. "Getting things out early is always the best policy, whether you're a candidate or whether you're in public office."

Rendell said he was "guardedly optimistic" Clinton would still win the election.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The disclosure that she had been diagnosed with pneumonia was a quintessentially Clintonian stumble, with her instinct for secrecy proving more damaging than the facts of the situation.

Her campaign later confirmed the weekend diagnosis and her top spokespeople acknowledged they shouldn't have kept reporters in the dark for so long after questions were raised about why she had to leave Monday's memorial abruptly.

"Antibiotics can take care of pneumonia. What's the cure for an unhealthy penchant for privacy that repeatedly creates unnecessary problems?" David Axelrod, a former top adviser to Obama, wrote on Twitter.

Asked to respond during a phone interview on Tuesday on CNN, Clinton said, "I just didn't think it was going to be that big a deal." She added that unlike with Trump, Americans "know more about me than almost anyone in public life."

Clinton plans to return to the campaign trail tomorrow, her campaign said in an email.

Other Obama alumni sounded less concerned that the incident would affect the outcome of the race.

"Every campaign has bad days, it's all about how you deal with them," said Steve Schale, who managed Obama's 2008 campaign in Florida. "The problem in real time reporting is any delay in responding is seen as being secretive."


LATEST POLL AVERAGES
RealClearPolitics.com national poll averages
Clinton 46.1% (+2.3)
Trump 43.8%

Battleground states
RCP poll averages

Steady Dem:
Colorado Clinton +9.7
Pennsylvania Clinton +6.2
Michigan Clinton +5.6
Wisconsin +5.3
New Hampshire Clinton +5

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Leaning Dem:
Virginia Clinton +3.7

Toss-up:
Nevada Clinton +0.8
North Carolina Clinton +0.8
Ohio Trump +0.6
Florida Trump +0.7
Iowa Trump +0.8
Arizona Trump +1.6

Leaning Rep:
Georgia Trump +2
Missouri Trump +3

Jon Favreau, Obama's former chief speechwriter, sympathised with Clinton's decision not to announce her pneumonia diagnosis when she received it on Saturday NZT given the persisting conspiracy theories about her health.

"In retrospect, it might've been better to be more transparent, but I don't think it was a no-brainer," Favreau said in an email. "Yesterday they clearly could've handled better, which they've said themselves."

"An occasional gaffe or two is unavoidable in any campaign, no matter how disciplined or well-run," he said.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Bill Burton, a former Obama spokesman, blamed media coverage for the attention Clinton's health has received.

"I've worked for four presidential candidates and one president, and none of them were under the kind of pressure put on Hillary to release information about their colds," he said. "The coverage of this has been remarkably stupid."

Clinton, 68, who in the 1990s said she believes in "a zone of privacy," has at times demonstrated a politically self-defeating tendency towards secrecy. A notable example was her use of a private e-mail server as Secretary of State, which she admitted last year was a mistake, but has taken a toll on her image.

"Sometimes she makes a little bit of an oops," said Sandra Lawrence of South Philadelphia, referencing Clinton's email woes and her remarks describing many Trump supporters as "deplorables" who are racist, sexist, and xenophobic. "Sometimes you've got to be a little more tactical. ... I think she gets herself into trouble."

Lawrence added: "I think she'll learn, though".

For now, Clinton remains the favourite, due to a mathematical advantage in the electoral college and leads in swing states like Pennsylvania and Virginia, even as others such as Ohio, Florida, and Iowa have narrowed to a dead heat in some polls.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Political academic Daniel Nichanian who tweets as Taniel believes that of the swing states, Clinton still only needs to be sure of Colorado, Virginia, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire to win. He tweeted: "RCP's polling average in the 4 states Clinton needs is quite a bit larger than her national lead".

PA/VA/CO/NH firewall remains apparent in scant available polling & D spending—but want to see more & looking modest. https://t.co/Q5UR3ei4KH

— Taniel (@Taniel) September 14, 2016

Trump leads Clinton by five points among likely voters in Ohio, a Bloomberg Politics poll published today found.

Obama received a hero's welcome yesterday in Philadelphia, where he implored Americans to vote for Clinton (who spent the day resting and recovering), and lit into Trump as someone who "says stuff every day that used to be considered as disqualifying for being president".

Democrats expressed anxiety mixed with cautious optimism that they'd defeat Trump on November 8.

"I'm nervous," said Debra Derderian of Newtown, Pennsylvania.

She said Clinton has handled her controversies "very well" but fretted that voters "don't understand Hillary's personality".

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Norman Wooten of North Philadelphia said he wishes Obama were on the ballot.

"He'd be killing Donald Trump right now," he said.

Wooten said Clinton isn't doing as well "because of the semi-mistake she made" with her email server. "And the fact that she's a woman. Other than that she'd be killing."

While Clinton's favourable rating slumped to a dismal 38 per cent (barely higher than Trump's 36 per cent) in the latest Gallup tracking poll, Obama's approval soared to 58 per cent in a Washington Post survey released on Monday, his highest since July 2009.

If Obama were running against Trump, "there would no be any contest," said Lucy Dubas of New Hope, Pennsylvania. "People just do not like Hillary and I don't get it."

President Barack Obama at campaign event for Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, yesterday in Philadelphia. Photo / AP
President Barack Obama at campaign event for Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, yesterday in Philadelphia. Photo / AP

Clinton's strategy is to turn out the coalition that powered Obama to two victories. She's courting non-white voters, millennials and unmarried women with a progressive agenda and promises to protect the president's achievements.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Obama's presence on the campaign trail, along with first lady Michelle Obama's expected upcoming appearances, could give Clinton a boost and ease Democrats' concerns.

"I'm hoping it's just a little bump in the road," Mike Blisko of Levittown said of Clinton's recent woes.

Other Democrats said she's up against the worst of America.

"Trump has brought out anger, fear and hatred to a degree we have never known before. He's conquered the Republican primary candidates and now he's trying to fuel this anger to go after Hillary," said Mark Daniels, who flew from Springfield, Illinois to see Obama in Philadelphia.

"Part of the reason I think Hillary got sick is trying to fight this off."

Save

    Share this article

Latest from World

World

Ozzy Osbourne's final Black Sabbath gig draws thousands in Birmingham

06 Jul 02:09 AM
World

Brics leaders to challenge US tariffs at Rio summit

06 Jul 01:49 AM
World

'Arson attack is cowardly': PMs condemn Melbourne synagogue blaze

06 Jul 01:35 AM

There’s more to Hawai‘i than beaches and buffets – here’s how to see it differently

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from World

Ozzy Osbourne's final Black Sabbath gig draws thousands in Birmingham

Ozzy Osbourne's final Black Sabbath gig draws thousands in Birmingham

06 Jul 02:09 AM

He performed with his original bandmates for the first time in 20 years.

Brics leaders to challenge US tariffs at Rio summit

Brics leaders to challenge US tariffs at Rio summit

06 Jul 01:49 AM
'Arson attack is cowardly': PMs condemn Melbourne synagogue blaze

'Arson attack is cowardly': PMs condemn Melbourne synagogue blaze

06 Jul 01:35 AM
Spanish PM Sanchez faces crisis amid corruption, sex worker scandal

Spanish PM Sanchez faces crisis amid corruption, sex worker scandal

06 Jul 01:23 AM
From early mornings to easy living
sponsored

From early mornings to easy living

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP