By convenience is meant the desire to form a bulwark against the march of liberalism. This dogma will surely now wither into disuse.
Nor can the office of Pope any longer be considered one that is held on appointment for the rest of one's life. For, if you can resign, you may also be forced to go.
These two developments should mean that the power of the cardinals, as opposed to the Pope, would thereby increase. But at a time of momentous change, the cardinals themselves are subject to widespread criticism.
So paradoxically, although the election of a new Pope is likely to be a lengthy process, one of the key moments will come very early. By tradition, the cardinals hear two sermons in quick succession before they can proceed to electing a new Pope. These sermons analyse the state of the Church and suggest what qualities are needed in its new leader.
Indeed, what the cardinals have to do swiftly is decide what reforms they can accept and then identify the right man to carry them out. Except that Church leaders have little taste for acting swiftly and decisively. Faced with a difficulty, they naturally first turn to scripture to seek inspiration. Then, having come to some conclusions, they inevitably find that what might work well in one part of the Church won't gain any traction in another.
The African, European and North American branches have very different traditions and ways of acting. So normally at this point, a paralysis of decision-making would set in and the problem would be shelved for another half-century or so.
This time, though, the cardinals have only weeks to reach conclusions that will almost certainly be of historic importance.
- Independent