Any significant rain should keep the Hastings track in the right range for Mustang Valley but if it starts to get toward the 6, or less likely, 5 range the betting picture will change.
Not so much because Mustang Valley couldn't get away with another run on an improving track but because it would suit so many of her rivals better and boost their Livamol chances.
With only a week between the Arrowfield last Saturday and the Livamol there will also more trainers than usual nervous about how their charges have come through last Saturday as Group 1 races a week apart are extremely rare for thoroughbreds in this country and even trickier to handle so early in the campaign when most horses don't have a strong race fitness base.
Add that to the barrier draw on Wednesday morning and the continued weather watch and the Livamol has gone from what many would have seen as a La Crique parade to a Group 1 with a lot of moving parts between now and Saturday.
