There is nothing inevitable about Judith Collins being the next leader of the National Party.

There is also nothing inevitable about Simon Bridges lasting until the next election. Those chances are about 50:50 at present.

But it is remarkable that after having polled so dismally in last year's leadership vote Collins is now considered the primary alternative.


And by that I don't mean in the judgment of those who have willed-on Bridges' demise since day one, despite his convincing win in the leadership contest, but by many inside the party.

Collins got barely more than three votes, those of