Nike started cleaning up its stats sheet Tuesday. For the first time, the sneaker empire declined to report "future orders," a critical measure of wholesale demand from the galaxy of retailers who sell the famous kicks. It says the metric doesn't matter much anymore, because now it's focused on doing business directly with consumers and cutting out the middleman.
While Nike reported its slowest quarterly sales growth since 2010, its performance as a retailer-rather than a wholesaler-was a relative highlight. Sales on Nike's own web store were up 19 per cent in the recent quarter, while its retail locations notched a 5 per cent gain in same-store sales. CEO Mark Parker said the company is obsessed with making shopping more personal. "Retailers who don't embrace distinction will be left behind," he warned on a conference call Tuesday.
Still, that wasn't enough to impress investors, at least not yet.
The overlooked beauty of bricks-and-mortar retail is how well retail chains lend themselves to what economists call price segmentation-shoemakers can easily target customers by sending the right shoes to the right kind of store (think: first-class vs. coach, iPhone X vs. iPhone 8, Banana Republic vs. Old Navy). In Nike's case, it ships expensive, limited edition sneakers to high-end boutiques, routes its stock Jordans to chains like Foot Locker, and dumps its low-end product and off-key colorways in places like DSW.
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Done correctly, all this socioeconomic slotting moves as much merchandise as possible with minimal fuss while not tarnishing the larger brand. And Nike does it correctly. On its face, it's a design shop supercharged by the kind of storytelling its TV commercials, billboards, and magazine ads are famous for. But Nike's real genius isn't marketing, it's merchandising-knowing exactly what to ship where. For every sneaker-sketching savant at the Beaverton, Oregon, headquarters, there's a mid-level manager with a giant spreadsheet making sure the new "Momofuku" Dunks shoes aren't too easy to find, ordering a special design for China, distributing its best-sellers to all the right Dick's Sporting Goods and dumping plenty of Chuck Taylor's at outlet malls.
But now Nike is upsetting its own well-oiled applecart. In giving traditional retail the stiff-arm, which Nike made official in June, the Oregon empire is tearing up that playbook and trying to make an end run around the basic economics of price segmentation. The strategy-a bold move, given the historical manufacturer-to-retail model it's discarding-requires no shortage of swagger. But Nike's numbers show that the bet appears to be working, primarily because Nike has been sharpening its digital game.
Sought-after sneakers now ship out via Nike's own ecosystem of apps, including SNKRS, which it launched early last year. The heart of its lineup meanwhile sells on Nike.com and in its own big-box stores. As for the cheaper and less popular kicks, they quietly trickle into the company's "factory" stores (read: outlet) and onto Amazon.com. Nike even has a studio in New York that makes customized shoes on-site in about an hour.
In short, the company is de-emphasizing its ready-made network of retailers to create an even more precise targeting mechanism. On September 26, Parker said the end goal is to get ahead of the consumer and offer "the most personal, digitally connected experiences" in the industry. "While changing your approach is never easy, Nike has proven before that when we do, it's always ignited the next phase of growth for our company," he explained.
In theory Nike can know any given customer better, and his or her willingness to pay, by using its own venues and platforms, particularly on its digital properties. The challenge will be building the mechanism to sort the data and in doing so, the customers. In the real world, they sort themselves-the high-end boutique isn't right next to the cut-rate discount outlet. In the virtual world, it's not so easy.
For the record, Under Armour is slightly ahead of Nike, with 31 per cent of its sales coming directly from consumers; Adidas is slightly behind with 23 per cent of revenue from retail. At its current pace, Nike will soon be collecting one in three of its sales dollars directly from consumers. Its challenge will be making sure none of them gets too good of a deal.