Most likely, Jacinda Ardern will stumble to re-election with one or both of the Greens and NZ First.

Nevertheless, her Government's multiple policy failures are now eroding public confidence in her abilities.

While genuinely warm and caring, the day-to-day prime ministerial tasks of working with ministers and senior officials to establish a programme and priorities, then monitoring their performance and holding them to account, have turned out not to be her thing.


Sadly for all those with such high hopes two years ago, she is no Helen Clark or even John Key.

Meanwhile, National MPs have a spring in