Cannabis extractors have posted outsized share gains this year, and analysts remain bullish on the sub-sector.
Key players include MediPharm Labs Corp., Valens Groworks Corp., and Neptune Wellness Solutions Inc. All three have seen their stock more than double since the start of 2019.
"Extraction will be in high demand as additional cultivation comes online, with Valens poised to be a leading player," Eight Capital analyst Jenny Wang told clients in a note. The investment bank initiated stock coverage with a buy recommendation and price target of C$8.25.
One Wall Street bank attempted to estimate how many pot dispensaries may be needed across North America to garner optimal legal sales. The magic number: about three dispensaries per 100,000 people, Seaport Global Securities LLC said in a note. The New York-based investment bank reviewed dispensary counts by state and province across North America, along with data available on industry sales receipts.
In Canada, it's no secret the nation's store roll-out has been slower than expected in the two most populated provinces of Ontario and Quebec. "Based upon our rule of three, we would argue that Ontario needs a total footprint of 403 stores," up from the current figure of about 23. Additionally, Seaport estimated Quebec needs a total footprint of 245 stores, up from about 16, analyst Brett Hundley wrote. In all, Canada may need around 1,055 pot stores for the industry to see its true potential, Seaport added.
Flowr Corp. may have given investors an indication of appetite for equity offerings. The pot producer announced a C$43.5m bought-deal financing last week, shortly after withdrawing an equity offering the prior week. Shares surged 21 per cent after the pulled offering, though fell 17 per cent after the bought-deal July 22. Toronto-based GMP Securities LP is lead underwriter for the sale, which is expected to close August 8. The original share offering included Barclays, BMO Capital Markets and Credit Suisse.
Two deals catching eyes last week included Auxly Cannabis Group Inc. getting an investment from U.K. cigarette maker Imperial Brands Plc as the companies move to position themselves for the expansion of cannabis-based vaping products in Canada.
The deal is a "major positive for Auxly's shareholders," AltaCorp Capital analyst David Kideckel said in a note to clients. Auxly is now "one of two cannabis companies to have signed a major deal with a global tobacco company, the other one being Cronos," he added.
Additionally, convenience-store giant Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc., the owner of Circle K stores, announced an investment in pot retailer Fire & Flower Holdings. It's a "vote of confidence from a large multi-national retailer in Fire & Flower's ability to rapidly scale its retail platform," Eight Capital told clients in a note.
