Recently, however, the New Zealand dollar has fallen sharply and is now 7 per cent below where the central bank forecast it would be on a trade-weighted index basis.
There are also signs of inflationary pressure, in particular as the new government is planning to lift minimum wage and increase infrastructure spending.
While the central bank may rejig its forecasts Thursday to note rising inflationary pressure and a weaker currency, economists expect an extremely cautious tone.
Firms trimmed their expectations for economic growth on an annual real gross domestic product basis to 2.65 per cent for the year ahead from 2.75 per cent and to 2.45 per cent from 2.64 per cent for two years ahead.
The jobless rate is seen at 4.66 per cent in one year, down from a prior view of 4.78 per cent. Wage growth is also expected to remain tepid. Annual hourly wage growth for one year ahead is seen at 2.25 per cent versus 2.26 percent in the prior survey and to 2.57 per cent in two years from 2.49 per cent.
The New Zealand dollar is expected to be at 70.40 US cents by the end of December versus 71.30 cents in the previous survey. It is expected to be at 70 US cents a year from now versus a prior view of 70.10. It recently traded at 68.94 US cents.