NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather forecasts

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
    • The Great NZ Road Trip
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
    • Cooking the Books
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • What the Actual
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business / Economy

With the TPP effectively dead, this could be China's chance to swoop in

By Gavin Fernando
news.com.au·
29 Jan, 2017 06:32 AM6 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

China's President Xi Jinping smiles to the audience after his speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Photo / AP

China's President Xi Jinping smiles to the audience after his speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Photo / AP

The withdrawal of the US from the Trans-Pacific Partnership came as a huge blow to Australian and New Zealand producers.

With the stroke of his pen and a smile, US President Donald Trump lived up to his promise of killing the TPP between America, Australia, New Zealand and nine other Pacific nations.

As it becomes increasingly unlikely that the US will rejoin the TPP, China is emerging as a rising superpower, keen to become a key player in the world economy.

If its grand global plan comes to fruition, it could dominate the world stage.

CHINA'S PLAN FOR WORLD DOMINATION

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

For the past three years, China has been pursuing an ambitious geopolitical plan known as the "One Belt, One Road" initiative.

The development strategy, widely regarded as one of President Xi Jinping's signature propositions, seeks to connect countries across continents on trade.

Unlike the TPP, it centres on China and is largely focused on being of financial benefit to poorer Asian countries, and includes various global infrastructure projects.

The ambitious plan involves building ports and creating a 6000-kilometre sea route connecting China to South East Asia, Oceania and North Africa (the "Maritime Silk Road"), as well as through building railway and road infrastructure that would connect it with Central and West Asia, the Middle East and Europe (the "Silk Road Economic Belt").

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The project is popular in China, with support for it seen as mandatory for Chinese officials who want to move up the career ladder and prove their loyalty to President Xi Jinping.

Unlike the TPP, there are no restrictions on collaborations with other countries. Anyone can join, and in a 2014 address to Australian parliament, Mr Xi specifically said he "welcomed Australia's participation in the Maritime Silk Road".

Many countries have been reluctant to join the pact - but that was before Mr Trump entered the scene.

With his "America first" policy and his frequent criticism of global alliances, these countries may soon seek new "umbrellas" to fall under.

Discover more

Opinion

Are the days of free trade over?

17 Jan 04:00 PM
Opinion

Time for English to act on US trade deal

24 Jan 04:24 AM
World

US judge halts Trump immigration ban

29 Jan 03:31 AM
World

Bizarre twist to Trump holding PM's hand

29 Jan 04:53 AM

Mr Trump's decision to destroy the TPP could therefore prove to be a great opportunity for China.

Beijing is hoping to use this strategy to exert influence over 60 countries - far more than the 12 countries that made up the TPP.

The difference, however, is that the vast majority of countries under China's initiative are developing, and are in dire need of aid and money from China.

China has been pursuing an ambitious geopolitical plan known as the "One Belt, One Road" initiative. Photo / Mark Mitchell
China has been pursuing an ambitious geopolitical plan known as the "One Belt, One Road" initiative. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Some of the OBOR projects are massive. According to The Economist, officials say there are up to 900 deals under way, worth $890 billion, such as a rail link between Beijing and the German city of Duisburg, and a 3000-kilometre high-speed rail from Kunming, in the country's southwest, to Singapore.

China has said it will invest a cumulative $4 trillion into the project, though it does not say by when.

Australian enterprises, banks and law firms have promoted OBOR as a positive economic opportunity.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

A not-for-profit organisation called the Australia-China OBOR Initiative is pushing hard to see the framework extended here, saying it will have great benefits for Australian businesses and industries.

In a report, the ACOBOR says Australian businesses will be able to attract Chinese partners in major Australian-based projects.

It also says they can use the framework of the initiative to partner with Chinese enterprises in projects beyond Australia - both in China and the other 59 countries part of the Belt and Road.

WHAT'S IN IT FOR CHINA?

Over the past decade, China has increasingly become keen to solidify itself as a world power.

Already the world economy's largest source of growth, the country has accounted for more than 60 per cent of all global growth over the past 15 years.

At the annual summit of the Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation group in November last year, Mr Xi declared his country open for business.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"Openness is vital for the prosperity of the Asia-Pacific," he said. "China will not shut the door to the outside world but will open it even wider."

In stark contrast to Mr Trump, Mr Xi said China will "fully involve ourselves in economic globalisation".

Last year, former World Trade Organisation chief Supachai Panitchpakdi stated that the OBOR initiative only served China's interests.

Beijing has been accused of seeking to dominate smaller countries through its massive financial assets, by having long-term control of their infrastructure, resources and land assets.

China has also been accused of using the program as a way to further validate its claims to the disputed islands on the South China Sea, as well as to help its own security.

In October, The Lowy Institute's director of the East Asia Program Merriden Varrall explained there were several reasons for China's relentless pursual of power.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

She said China sees its rise to power as a return to "the natural order of things". They basically believe this is their fate or destiny - a view that extends from Mr Xi down to the poorest ranks of the country's 1.3 billion population.

She also said it sees itself as Asia's "father figure", which is why the ambitious OBOR plan is focused on the economies of poorer countries.

"If you're the father figure, the centre of this circle, you're expected to protect and look after the others, and the others in turn are expected to show a certain amount of deference and respect to you," said Dr Varrall.

This explains why China is so keen to economically open itself to the outside world - to make everyone take it seriously and see it as it sees itself: as the world's biggest and most important power.

Mr Trump's decision to destroy the TPP could therefore prove to be a great opportunity for China. Photo / AP
Mr Trump's decision to destroy the TPP could therefore prove to be a great opportunity for China. Photo / AP

WHAT ABOUT THE RCEP?

With the loss of the TPP, Donald Trump has opened up a huge potential opportunity for Beijing to swoop in and fill the void in the region.

In addition to the OBOR, this can be achieved through the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), a 16-member regional trade agreement that includes Australia and New Zealand.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Its focus would be on loosening rules on cross-border investment and freeing up market access by getting rid of tariffs.

If China was to pursue and succeed in implementing this, the country could successfully upstage the US as the leader of regional economic order, solidifying its strategic power on a global scale.

Former Australian trade minister Andrew Robb likened the TPP to a "difficult-to-unscramble omelet", saying Australia should now focus on the RCEP deal instead.

"If that's concluded this year that will put enormous pressure on the United States - not only trade pressure but also geopolitical pressure when the region starts to wonder who do they turn to for leadership," he said.

But in an earlier interview with news.com.au, Weihuan Zhou, a law lecturer at UNSW, said this is unlikely to happen if the TPP is dead and buried.

"But China is only so active in pushing the RCEP because of the TPP, because of Japan's role in the TPP," Dr Zhou said.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"If the US withdraws from the TPP and the pact dies, China likely won't continue pushing for the RCEP."

Clearly, however, there's a huge void to be filled now - and China looks primed to take the leading role.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Economy

New Zealand

Health NZ confirms 377 roles cut, despite ongoing legal challenge

15 May 07:06 AM
Premium
Business|economy

'Wave of opportunity' – 120 new jobs, some require no experience

15 May 03:00 AM
Premium
Economy

U-turn: Treasury to let union and other groups attend Budget lock-up

14 May 11:30 PM

The Hire A Hubby hero turning handyman stereotypes on their head

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Economy

Health NZ confirms 377 roles cut, despite ongoing legal challenge

Health NZ confirms 377 roles cut, despite ongoing legal challenge

15 May 07:06 AM

Legal action by PSA means some changes are currently on hold.

Premium
'Wave of opportunity' – 120 new jobs, some require no experience

'Wave of opportunity' – 120 new jobs, some require no experience

15 May 03:00 AM
Premium
U-turn: Treasury to let union and other groups attend Budget lock-up

U-turn: Treasury to let union and other groups attend Budget lock-up

14 May 11:30 PM
From 'pretty tough' rural Tassie to managing $80b: NZ Super chief Jo Townsend's career

From 'pretty tough' rural Tassie to managing $80b: NZ Super chief Jo Townsend's career

14 May 07:00 PM
Gold demand soars amid global turmoil
sponsored

Gold demand soars amid global turmoil

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • What the Actual
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven CarGuide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP