NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / Business / Economy

Brian Fallow: Report reveals picture of rising inequality

Brian Fallow
By Brian Fallow
Columnist·NZ Herald·
29 Aug, 2012 05:30 PM6 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

The income gap between the rich and the poor has been widening. Photo / Thinkstock

The income gap between the rich and the poor has been widening. Photo / Thinkstock

Brian Fallow
Opinion by Brian Fallow
Brian Fallow is a former economics editor of The New Zealand Herald
Learn more

That the recession saw incomes fall and inequality widen comes as no surprise.

Even so, the latest incomes report from the Ministry of Social Development, which carefully quantifies those effects, makes sobering reading.

It records a drop in real household incomes of 2.7 per cent between 2010 and 2011. That is at the median, or midpoint of the distribution when incomes are ranked by size.

For the top 30 per cent real incomes rose.

But for most households they fell, by as much as 5.5 per cent at the 30th per centile, that is, three-tenths of the way up from the bottom.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The ministry's latest report is the first to fully capture the effects of the recession. That is because there are lags between a drop in economic activity and its effects on the labour market and other sources of income.

Further lags arise from the statistical surveys the report draws on and the time it takes to then crunch the numbers.

What may come as a surprise is that the latest dip in real incomes follows 15 years in which real household income rose by around 3 per cent a year and the growth was pretty evenly spread.

But only 40 per cent of that increase can be explained by increases in average gross wages.

Tax changes helped but even so average after-tax wages only grew 24 per cent in real terms over that decade and a half.

Discover more

Opinion

Brian Fallow: Meridian in tricky position on Tiwai Pt

15 Aug 05:30 PM
Opinion

Brian Fallow: Reserve Bank bill opens dollar debate

22 Aug 05:30 PM
Opinion

Claire Trevett: Tables are turned on Key

22 Aug 05:30 PM
Opinion

Bernard Hickey: Energy float may turn into a s(t)inker

25 Aug 05:30 PM

Much of the other half of the household income growth is down to more women joining the labour force, especially in two-parent families with dependent children.

By 2004 nearly three in every four two-parent families had both parents working, up from one in two in the early 1990s. Since then the proportion has fallen, to just over two in every three.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Clearly, increasing household incomes by increasing female participation in the labour force is not a trend that can continue indefinitely.

Those 15 years of rising household incomes followed a period, 1988 to 2004, the years of root-and-branch economic reform, in which household incomes fell, for all but the top 10 per cent.

The fall was steep: a double-digit percentage decline for 70 per cent of households and 20 per cent at the low end of the distribution.

It took 20 years for real household incomes at the median to return to where they were in the early 1980s, and 25 years at the low end.

Over the past 30 years real incomes have grown four times faster at the high end than at the low end of the distribution.

One standard measure of income inequality, the Gini coefficient, rose sharply in the latest annual report, to its highest level in 30 years.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

That measure can sawtooth around from year to year, however.

The trend, which smooths out that volatility, shows a sharp rise during the Rogernomics period followed by a flattening out at levels similar to Australia, Canada and the UK.

Another measure of inequality, which looks at the ratio of the income of a household 20 per cent from the top of the distribution to one 20 per cent from the bottom, also deteriorated markedly between 2010 and 2011.

The ministry cautions, however, that "it will take another survey or two to be able to see where the inequality trend will settle after the shocks of the global financial crisis, the Christchurch earthquakes and the economic downturn and recovery."

The impact of the economic downturn on incomes after housing costs is even more stark.

After housing costs, real household disposable incomes fell across the board between 2010 and 2011. At the median the drop was 4 per cent and for three of the lowest four deciles the fall was more than 7 per cent.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

By this measure, "from a longer-term perspective, in 2010 the incomes of the bottom 30 per cent of the population were on average only a little better in real terms than their counterparts almost 30 years ago in 1982".

By contrast a household 10 per cent down from the top is 40 per cent better off in terms of real disposable income after housing costs than its counterpart 30 years ago.

A report by Salvation Army analyst Alan Johnson on the political economy of Auckland's housing argues that all this is a result of fundamental and systemic institutional failures, which "have allowed some Aucklanders to occupy larger and larger houses while other Aucklanders live in more crowded houses and in sheds, garages and caravans".

One of those failures is a tax system biased in favour of housing and especially owner-occupied housing.

Another, Johnson contends, is a monetary policy framework which targets consumer price inflation and is only concerned about asset bubbles to the extent that the associated wealth effect revs up debt-fuelled consumption.

Governor Alan Bollard acknowledged, in a speech in early 2010, that while monetary policy had done well on the price stability front (its statutory objective) it had not been sufficient to deliver a stable and balanced economy.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Johnson would go a lot further: "No one responsible for clinging to this orthodoxy over the past 20 years has thought to answer for the considerable damage that this unchecked housing bubble has wreaked on the New Zealand economy over this period."

The historically low interest rates prevailing in the wake of the global financial crisis have begun to warm up property markets, especially in Auckland.

But Johnson says that "beneath this veneer of improved affordability lies an abyss of household debt, most of which has been borrowed from foreign sources".

The share of household income likely to have been spent on debt servicing rose from less than 9 per cent 10 years ago to over 14 per cent in late 2008, before falling back to just over 9 per cent as mortgage rates have fallen.

But it would be dangerous to assume mortgage rates will remain this low indefinitely.

The Ministry of Social Development's incomes report says that in 2011 a quarter of the population lived in households in which housing costs swallow up a high proportion, defined as more than 30 per cent, of income. That is up from one in five in the mid-1990s and only one in 10 in the late 1980s.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

And the age of the population with high housing costs has been rising relentlessly, to the point that more than one in five people aged between 45 and 64 have housing costs of more than 30 per cent of their income, compared with just one in 20 back in 1988.

This suggests that a lot of people in what would normally be their peak earning years have little capacity to save for their retirement, at precisely the time when the fiscal costs of an ageing population are becoming increasingly problematic.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from Economy

Premium
Currency

Kiwi dollar rises 7.5% as US dollar wanes under global shifts

18 Jun 03:59 AM
Business|economy

Back-pocket boost: Households could receive hundreds of dollars in extra disposable income

17 Jun 11:35 PM
Premium
Economy

Liam Dann: 'Brick wall' – why tomorrow’s GDP data won’t tell the real story

17 Jun 06:00 PM

Jono and Ben brew up a tea-fuelled adventure in Sri Lanka

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from Economy

Premium
Kiwi dollar rises 7.5% as US dollar wanes under global shifts

Kiwi dollar rises 7.5% as US dollar wanes under global shifts

18 Jun 03:59 AM

Concerns about the US dollar have seen other currencies gain, including the NZ dollar.

Back-pocket boost: Households could receive hundreds of dollars in extra disposable income

Back-pocket boost: Households could receive hundreds of dollars in extra disposable income

17 Jun 11:35 PM
Premium
Liam Dann: 'Brick wall' – why tomorrow’s GDP data won’t tell the real story

Liam Dann: 'Brick wall' – why tomorrow’s GDP data won’t tell the real story

17 Jun 06:00 PM
Premium
Richard Prebble: How Labour can revive its fortunes with fresh leadership

Richard Prebble: How Labour can revive its fortunes with fresh leadership

17 Jun 05:00 PM
Help for those helping hardest-hit
sponsored

Help for those helping hardest-hit

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP