"It's a bit weird, isn't it?" Christopher Wheeler, a London-based analyst at Atlantic Equities, said in a telephone interview. "$5.8 billion and yet everybody is shrugging their shoulders."
Last year, the Justice Department turned up the heat on non-US firms by requiring Paris-based BNP Paribas and Credit Suisse Group's main bank unit to plead guilty to felonies. That raised questions about when and if US prosecutors would go after a domestic bank.
Before Wednesday, there was little precedent of healthy US lenders being convicted of crimes. Two other firms that did plead guilty to felonies - the Bank of Credit and Commerce International in 1992 and Washington's Riggs Bank in 2005 - had already been wiped out.
For all the muted response to Wednesday's news, Donaldson Capital Management's Greg Donaldson expressed concern that criminal charges may now become routine.
"Once you cross that line and admit you've done something bad, you open up Pandora's box," said Donaldson, chairman of the Evansville, Indiana-based firm that manages about $1.1 billion. "This settlement just moved the goal post."
If convictions become too commonplace, the government may have to pursue even tougher penalties. Last year, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley warned firms that they risk being "dramatically downsized" unless they stop breaking the law.
"Such prosecutions could represent a longer-term threat to these franchises," Jaret Seiberg, an analyst at Guggenheim Securities, said on Wednesday in a note to clients. Criminal guilty pleas "may alter the political landscape by giving more ammunition to those who want to break up the biggest banks," he said.
- Bloomberg