Pence acknowledged to reporters yesterday that Guaido sought assurances that the US could use force if necessary. "I reassured him" that force remains an option, Pence said, "but we hope for better, we hope for a peaceful transition".
The military option has not disappeared, said one senior Latin American official who attended the meeting. "It's the elephant in the room," the official said. "But nobody wants to see it, and nobody wants to talk about it." Progress has been made, the official said. "But this is just starting. The economic pressure, the diplomatic pressure is just starting," said the official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.
The opposition appears to have become a victim of its own hype over the weekend's events. It claimed that a humanitarian "D-Day" — with aid-laden trucks and thousands of cheering supporters coming face to face with Venezuelan security forces across the Colombian border — would burst the dams of Venezuelan military frustration and bring about a massive rupture between the armed forces and Maduro.
Instead, about 160 rank-and-file troops abandoned their posts — symbolically significant, but nowhere near the flood of support the opposition needed. At the same time, minimal amounts of aid got through. As many as eight people were killed, according to the opposition, and hundreds were injured.
"They started talking about the inevitability of winning, that humanitarian aid can't be stopped," said David Smilde, a fellow with the Washington Office on Latin America.
"Yes, those are great to mobilise people. But the problem is being caught flat-footed. They've got to figure out a new plan to manage expectations."