By some estimates, roughly one in three Covid-19 patients have experienced long Covid. That’s similar to NIH study participants who reported getting sick before the Omicron variant began spreading in the US in December 2021. That’s also when the study opened, and researchers noted that people who already had long Covid symptoms might have been more likely to enrol.
But about 2230 patients had their first coronavirus infection after the study started, allowing them to report symptoms in real time – and only about 10 per cent experienced long-term symptoms after six months.
Prior research has suggested the risk of long Covid has dropped since Omicron appeared; its descendants are still spreading.
The bigger question is how to identify and help those who already have long Covid.
The new study zeroed in on a dozen symptoms that may help define long Covid: fatigue; brain fog; dizziness; gastrointestinal symptoms; heart palpitations; sexual problems; loss of smell or taste; thirst; chronic cough; chest pain; and worsening symptoms after activity and abnormal movements.
The researchers assigned scores to the symptoms, seeking to establish a threshold that could eventually help ensure similar patients are enrolled in studies of possible long Covid treatments, as part of the NIH study or elsewhere, for apples-to-apples comparison.
Horwitz stressed that doctors shouldn’t use that list to diagnose someone with long Covid — it’s a potential research tool only. Patients may have one of those symptoms, or many – or other symptoms not on the list — and still be suffering long-term consequences of the coronavirus.
Everyone’s doing studies of long Covid yet “we don’t even know what that means”, Horwitz said.