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US election: What went wrong with polling? Some early theories

By Nate Cohn
New York Times·
15 mins to read
US election: What went wrong with polling? Some early theories
One possible explanation for 2020's polling misfire involves turnout - specifically, more of it from Republicans than the polls predicted. Photo / Janie Osborne, The New York Times

Pollsters thought they had learned from the errors of 2016. It's possible that they did, and that this election reflects new problems.

Asking for a polling post-mortem at this stage is a little bit like asking a coroner for the cause of death while the body is still at the

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