It’s unclear whether Trump, who survived two assassination attempts last year and would be the oldest president in history by the time he leaves office, is serious.
The 22nd Amendment plainly states that no one can be elected president more than twice.
Legally speaking, the discussion — and this article — could end right here.
What is clear, though, is that a president who has chafed at the limits on his power sees great political benefit in talking about it — and his musings may already be having their intended effect. I’ll explain why.
A long history
Trump spent decades publicly toying with the idea of running for president, knowing full well that just talking about it can get you attention.
That remains the case even when you already are the president.
In 1988, he told Oprah Winfrey that he “probably wouldn’t” run for president, but that he wouldn’t rule it out, either.
“I really am tired of seeing what’s happening with this country, how we’re really making other people live like kings, and we’re not,” he said.
Two years later, he mused in Playboy about how he would handle an international crisis as president, saying he believed in extreme military strength and that he “wouldn’t trust the Russians”.
Dallying with running for president kept Trump, then a flashy real estate developer, in the headlines, and, then as now, the attention might be the whole point.
The New York Times’ Maggie Haberman reported early this year that Trump has told his advisers that he sees third term talk as a way to grab the spotlight and anger Democrats.
But she made another observation then that is worth remembering.
Even when Trump presents something as a joke, the idea he suggests often becomes socialised by his supporters, both those in office and in the right-wing media.
The concept then often takes on more weight, including for Trump.
The political impact
Trump has kept the idea of running again front and centre throughout his second term.
He has joked about staying in office for 25 years. There were Trump 2028 hats on his desk during a meeting with congressional leaders this month.
Some Republicans have begun to endorse the idea. And last week, Trump’s former adviser Steve Bannon insisted there was a “plan” for the President to seek another term, although he did not say what it was.
In doing so, Trump has firmly injected the idea into the national conversation, keeping him from being seen as the most ineffectual of Washington stereotypes, a lame duck.
And, crucially, it makes it difficult for any other Republican to chart a path out of the Trump era, because doing so could be read as defiance against a party leader who isn’t ready to move on.
Even as Trump teased the idea of running for president himself, he was eager to set the parameters of a race without him.
It would be one that would pit two of the most recognisable members of his Administration against one another — while he looms as a powerful kingmaker.
“We have great people, I don’t have to get into that. But we have one of them standing right here,” Trump said, referring to Secretary of State Marco Rubio before bringing up Vice-President JD Vance.
“The Vice-President is great,” he continued. “I’m not sure if anybody would run against those two.”
It sounded less like an observation than an order.
This article originally appeared in The New York Times.
Written by: Jess Bidgood
Photograph by: Haiyun Jiang
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