While there is no guarantee Stylish Memphis can even cross to the lead or hold Manhattan, she is the best performed mare in the race and if Butcher gets her free-rolling in front it will improve her chances and diminish those of Manhattan, who is a sensational front runner.
But if the pair get too excited early then Darling Me will be able to move into the race in the middle stages and take advantage, so the early burn will be pivotal to how the race plays out, with Stylish Memphis possibly just as potent even if she trails, but that brings the tempo and luck of others more into play.
Butcher, winner of 2557 domestic races, also has a hand to play in tonight’s two major handicaps.
He will partner Kango fresh-up from the New Zealand Cup last month and while he gets a 15m start from 30m backmarker Copy That in the $50,000 Cup, Butcher admits that may not be enough.
“It is a tricky little race and if we got the front that would be our best chance but even then, the way Copy That is racing he might just be too fast, while Hey Bartender is a pretty promising horse, too.”
Butcher also drives Springbank Mason in the $50,000 main trot and while he was good winning here last Friday, the opposition jumps up several notches including his former stablemate Majestic Man.
The open-class star starts off the 30m backmark on a track where he has almost always raced well but remarkably in 13 Alexandra Park starts he has won only once, with superstars such as Sundees Son and Winterfell costing him a more imposing record at the Auckland track.