Lisa Carrington. Photo / Photosport.co.nz
New Zealand has made a successful start after the opening week of the Tokyo Olympics but what is expected in week two?
New Zealand currently sits 12th on the medal table with four gold, three silver and four bronze for a total of 11. A medal is at least guaranteed for David Nyika after reaching the semifinals of the men's 81-91kg boxing semifinals.
The nation's most successful Games was the Rio Olympics where 18 medals were won. The most gold medals is eight in 1984 - with the canoeing team winning half of them.
So far in Tokyo - 54 medals have been handed out to Kiwis, which is a record.
Merryn Anderson and Cameron McMillan look at New Zealand's potential medal chances over the remaining events in Tokyo.
Peter Burling and Blair Tuke - Men's 49er
The Rio gold medallists lead the 49er standings going into the medal race at 6.33pm. They have a four-point lead over both Britain and Spain so it's a tight contest going into the decider where points are worth double. Only a win or a second placing will guarantee gold. They do have a 10 point lead over the German and Denmark pairings in fourth and fifth so even bronze isn't a lock. But they go into the race as favourites for gold.
Tim Price and the NZ eventing team
Price could leave the Tokyo Olympics with two medals or none - such is the fickle nature of eventing show jumping. Price sits in fourth place just one penalty point behind Great Britain's Laura Collett in third and three penalties behind first place Oliver Townsend, also of Great Britain. One rail is worth four points so he's in the mix if he goes clear round and other riders ahead of him make mistakes. New Zealand also sit fourth in the team standings with Britain well ahead in the gold medal spot. The New Zealand trio are seven points behind the French in third but crazy things have happened in the showjumping phase before so you can't count them out.
Laurel Hubbard, women's +87kg weightlifting
Sixth at the World Championships. Her personal best stands outside medal range - but could have improved over the last year.
Lisa Carrington, K1 200m
The 32-year-old has won every single K1 200m title at the Canoe Sprint World Championships since 2011 and has two Olympic gold medals in the same period. It would be a huge upset for Carrington not to win gold but she does have a gruelling schedule in Tokyo, competing in four events. Along with a bronze picked up in the K1 500m at Rio, two Tokyo medals would tie Carrington for the most Olympic medals won by a New Zealander.
David Nyika, men's boxing (81-91kg)
The boxer from Hamilton will strangely be wanting not to win a medal on Tuesday afternoon. Nyika is guaranteed a medal at these Olympics by virtue of making the semifinal, it's just a matter of which colour. If Nyika loses this semifinal, he'll finish his day with a bronze medal, but if he wins, he'll be fighting for gold on Friday. His opponent for the bout is Russian Muslim Gadzhimagomedov, who defeated Nyika at the World Boxing Championships in 2019. Nyika comes in a slight underdog but his two Commonwealth Games gold medals show that he is not to be underestimated.
Lisa Carrington and Caitlin Regal/Alicia Hoskin and Teneale Hatton, K2 500m
New Zealand has entered two boats into the K2 500m event, with the pairing of Carrington/Regal being the clear favourite of the two to medal. Caitlin Regal (née Ryan) is an experienced paddler and Tokyo will test both athletes' endurance, Carrington potentially racing in two finals over the space of 90 minutes but odds are good that Carrington will end the day with two medals around her neck.
Full Kiwi schedule below. Click on a name to see athlete's bio, upcoming events, past Games performance and medal chance.
Josh Junior, sailing Finn class
Junior goes into the Finn medal race sitting out of contention for the gold medal, Great Britain's Giles Scott has a healthy lead over the Kiwi. Predicted by experts to come away with a silver medal, Junior is sitting fourth after 10 races and will need a solid showing in the medal race, as well as a bad race from his competitors from Hungary and Spain to end up on the podium.
Women's team pursuit
The track cycling gets underway in Tokyo on Monday, with the team pursuit finals contested on Tuesday. It's hard to tell how our cyclists are tracking, with very few international competitions since early 2020 but the team has a good mix of experience and youth.
Julia Ratcliffe, women's hammer throw
Qualifying in sixth for the hammer throw final with a throw of 73.20m, Ratcliffe threw 35cms short of her personal best but would likely need to smash her PB to have a shot at a medal. The clear favourite for the gold is Poland's Anita Wlodarczyk, who casually threw 76.99m on her first attempt to automatically qualify. Wlodarczyk is the current world record holder with a mammoth 82.98m throw in 2016. Ratcliffe said that none of her three qualifying attempts felt like she "really hooked one" so she might have a little more in the tank but would need a miracle for gold.
Paul Snow-Hansen and Dan Willcox, sailing men's 470
With two more races to go before the medal race, the men's 470 pair look in comfortable position to race for a medal if they can keep their noses at the front of the pack before the final race. The heavy favourites are the crew from Australia - barring disaster in the last two races, they've got the gold. Snow-Hansen and Willcox are currently sitting fifth overall, with some consistent showings putting them in with a decent shot at bronze.
Men's team pursuit
New Zealand's track cycling team pursuit is unchanged from the team that won silver in the event at the 2020 World Championships. Without knowing how the other teams are tracking is difficult due to the lack of international events because of Covid, the cyclists have a good chance of standing on the podium, but will be in with a challenge to beat the favourites from Denmark.
Tom Walsh, Jacko Gill, men's shot put
New Zealand's shot put men arrived at Tokyo after half of the Kiwi medal winners had already departed but will be hoping to replicate the performance of their female counterparts when the men's shot put competition gets underway. Both athletes competed in Rio, with Walsh coming away with a bronze medal. Walsh has the fourth best throw this year, and looks in good form for another bronze, but the three Americans will be the biggest challenge. Walsh's personal best of 22.90m was set in 2019, while favourite Ryan Crouser threw a world's best 23.37m just two months ago.
Lisa Carrington, Caitlin Regal, K1 500m
The busy schedule for our canoe sprinters continues with the K1 500m event. While Carrington's preferred event is the shorter 200m length, she already has a bronze from the 500m event in Rio and has received a medal in the event at every World Championships race since 2013, winning gold in 2019.
Ellesse Andrews, women's Keirin
Fifth in the women's Keirin at the World Championships, Andrews may have a chance to push for a medal in Tokyo. Also competing in the sprint, the 21-year-old won gold in the Keirin at the Oceania Track Championships in 2020 but will require a big step up to make the podium.
Nyika again
Victory on Wednesday means a gold medal bout and the chance to become New Zealand's first Olympic boxing champion since Ted Morgan in 1928.
Ethan Mitchell, Sam Webster, Men's sprint final
Both were part of the sprint team that claimed silver at the Rio Olympics and are probably outsiders for the men's sprint in a strong field but can't be ruled out. Webster is a two-time Commonwealth Games champion and finished 12th in the event in Rio. Mitchell did get bronze in the individual sprint at the 2017 world championships so it's not beyond him either.
Black Sticks women
They face a very tough quarter-final against the Netherlands today which could end their run in Tokyo after closing out pool play with three one-goal defeats. But an upset today and they'll be backing themselves to claim New Zealand's first hockey medal since 1976.
Lydia Ko, Women's golf
The Rio silver medallist will be looking to go one better in Tokyo. Has been in great form this season with victory at the Lotte Championship in April and two other top three finishes. It will all matter of course on how she performs across the first three rounds.
Lisa Carrington, Teneale Hatton, Alicia Hoskin, Caitlin Regal, Women's K-4 500m
The foursome finished fourth at the world championships in 2019 are should have improved since. World champs Hungary have had a personal change since winning two years ago.
Men's Madison, Track cycling
Campbell Stewart and Aaron Gate claimed silver in the event at last year's World Championships but the pairing could be broken up for this two-man competition with Points race world champion Corbin Strong also in the running. Whichever combination they go with will be serious contenders.
Nick Willis, Sam Tanner, 1500m final
Willis only just squeaked into the field but has shown in the past he has a knack of performing at the Olympics with a silver in 2008 and bronze in Rio.
Sam Webster, Men's Keirin
Webster won the B final in 2016 and is an outside chance in an event that has the chance to throw up surprise medallists.
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