Wellington and Dunedin have fewer rainy days, but are 2C to 3C colder than Auckland during spring.
Niwa principal scientist Brett Mullan said sea temperatures remained 0.5C above average after the strong La Nina pattern which ended in May, and this would influence weather until October.
"It's looking settled and warmer than usual," he said.
"Spring generally has westerly days, a little brisk, but with not too much cloud, some nice sunny days.
"I imagine it might be quite pleasant for people touring the country."
But first, we'll have to get through more of the unsettled, stormy weather we had late last month.
Dr Mullan said: "It looks like August might be a bit more stormy. It's nice at the moment, but it's looking like we might get another burst later in the month."
The opening games in the Rugby World Cup tournament, which starts on September 9, are likely to be played in typically erratic spring conditions - intermittent rain and blue skies, with westerly and southwesterly winds.
The weather usually becomes more settled in October, when the knockout rounds of the competition will be played.