Wednesday, 17 August 2022
Meet the JournalistsPremiumAucklandWellingtonCanterbury/South Island
CrimePoliticsHealthEducationEnvironment and ClimateNZ Herald FocusData journalismKāhu, Māori ContentPropertyWeather
Small BusinessOpinionPersonal FinanceEconomyBusiness TravelCapital Markets
Politics
Premium SportRugbyCommonwealth GamesCricketRacingNetballBoxingLeagueFootballSuper RugbyAthleticsBasketballMotorsportTennisCyclingGolfAmerican SportsHockeyUFC
NZH Local FocusThe Northern AdvocateThe Northland AgeThe AucklanderWaikato HeraldBay of Plenty TimesHawke's Bay TodayRotorua Daily PostWhanganui ChronicleStratford PressManawatu GuardianKapiti NewsHorowhenua ChronicleTe Awamutu Courier
Covid-19
Te Rito
Te Rito
OneRoof PropertyCommercial Property
Open JusticeVideoPodcastsTechnologyWorldOpinion
SpyTVMoviesBooksMusicCultureSideswipeCompetitions
Fashion & BeautyFood & DrinkRoyalsRelationshipsWellbeingPets & AnimalsVivaCanvasEat WellCompetitionsRestaurants & Menus
New Zealand TravelAustralia TravelInternational Travel
Our Green FutureRuralOneRoof Property
Career AdviceCorporate News
Driven MotoringPhotos
SudokuCodecrackerCrosswordsWordsearchDaily quizzes
Classifieds
KaitaiaWhangareiDargavilleAucklandThamesTaurangaHamiltonWhakataneRotoruaTokoroaTe KuitiTaumarunuiTaupoGisborneNew PlymouthNapierHastingsDannevirkeWhanganuiPalmerston NorthLevinParaparaumuMastertonWellingtonMotuekaNelsonBlenheimWestportReeftonKaikouraGreymouthHokitikaChristchurchAshburtonTimaruWanakaOamaruQueenstownDunedinGoreInvercargill
NZ HeraldThe Northern AdvocateThe Northland AgeThe AucklanderWaikato HeraldBay Of Plenty TimesRotorua Daily PostHawke's Bay TodayWhanganui ChronicleThe Stratford PressManawatu GuardianKapiti NewsHorowhenua ChronicleTe Awamutu CourierVivaEat WellOneRoofDriven MotoringThe CountryPhoto SalesNZ Herald InsightsWatchMeGrabOneiHeart RadioRestaurant Hub

Advertisement

Advertise with NZME.
New Zealand|Politics

Election 2020: National crushed in new Newshub-Reid Research poll as Labour soars

26 Jul, 2020 07:37 PM5 minutes to read
Despite the Labour Party soaring at 60 per cent, PM Jacinda Arden told Newstalk ZB’s Mike Hosking that she always had a "healthy scepticism" about polls. Audio / Newstalk ZB

Despite the Labour Party soaring at 60 per cent, PM Jacinda Arden told Newstalk ZB’s Mike Hosking that she always had a "healthy scepticism" about polls. Audio / Newstalk ZB

NZ Herald
Vote2020

National's public relations machine was spinning less than a minute after revelations the party had fallen to a dismal 25 per cent in the latest political poll - while Labour soared at 60 per cent.

National deputy leader Gerry Brownlee said today the party's own internal polls had it in the high-30s.

National leader Judith Collins labelled the Newshub-Reid Research poll as "rogue" - and Brownlee had sent a press release by 6.01pm on Sunday, backing up his leader's words.

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said today she always had a "healthy scepticism" about polls - good, bad or indifferent.

Advertisement

Advertise with NZME.

But she believed the latest poll continued a trend of general confidence about the Government's response to Covid-19. She told Newstalk ZB's Mike Hosking she never took the public's support for granted. "A lot can change very quickly."

She confirmed that charging people for quarantine "won't be too far away" - it was not being held up by the Greens, she said. It was a matter of ensuring the legislative practicalities were sorted.

This morning, Collins dubbed the political poll as "ridiculous" and said their own poll had shown them to be closer to the 40 per cent mark. Brownlee also confirmed polling in the "high-30s".

Speaking to Newstalk ZB's Kate Hawkesby, Collins said: "We've seen a big increase in our support since I took over as leader - both in preferred prime minister and party vote.

"I think it's really important that people think about what they're hearing on the ground and what we're hearing on the ground is entirely different.

"Our own polling - which is done scientifically and is done every week - shows a completely different story.

Related articles

New Zealand|Politics

Retiring Green MP bound for Quarantine

26 Jul 06:55 PM
New Zealand|Politics

'Clearly false': Judith Collins on new political poll

27 Jul 01:35 AM
New Zealand|Politics

Revealed: How Covid-19 has changed election day this year

27 Jul 02:20 AM
New Zealand|Politics

Collins: PM 'probably' knew about Lees-Galloway affair

27 Jul 03:51 AM

"I'll be making that available to the caucus on Tuesday."

She was coy about that being revealed to the public.

Advertisement

Advertise with NZME.

Party leaders receive a confidential, early heads-up on 6pm TV poll results, so that they can provide comment.

"These numbers aren't even in the same ballpark as our internal polls, other public polls and the hugely positive public response to our leader, Judith Collins," Brownlee said in his statement.

"Even with the most rigorous methodology, one in 20 polls will always be a rogue and this is clearly one of them."

Collins has failed to stop the bleeding for the National Party, with Labour taking an even more commanding lead in the latest poll - less than two months out from the election.

The National Party has fallen to a low of 25.1 per cent in the first public poll since Collins took over as leader from Todd Muller on July 14. The party was on 30.6 per cent the last time the poll was conducted in May - a number that effectively ended Simon Bridges' tenure as leader.

Read More

  • Comment: National's poll bump – It's too early for leader Todd Muller to break out the bubbly - NZ Herald
  • Audrey Young: National is closer to power than latest poll might suggest - NZ Herald
  • Election 2020 - 'Stardust' vs 'the Crusher'; Jacinda Ardern and Judith Collins face off in Parliament - NZ Herald

Labour is now at 60.9 per cent (up 4.4 per cent - the highest it has been in the Newshub-Reid Research poll) and will be able to govern comfortably alone with 77 seats, according to the poll.

Advertisement

Advertise with NZME.

Collins is 14.6 per cent as preferred Prime Minister but pales in comparison to Ardern, who is on 62 per cent.

Asked by Hosking about her 40th birthday yesterday, Ardern said: "It was very quiet actually. I mostly spent the day with Clarke and Neve, which was really lovely, and then I read some Cabinet papers."

The Newshub poll of 1000 people, conducted between July 16-24, has a margin of error of 3.1 per cent.

A new political poll is the first after a series of high-profile scandals in both parties. Photo / Supplied
A new political poll is the first after a series of high-profile scandals in both parties. Photo / Supplied

ACT has overtaken New Zealand First for the first time in Newshub's poll - ACT is at 3.3 per cent up 1.5 points. NZ First is down 0.7 points to 2 per cent.

According to the poll results, the Greens would still make it into Parliament on 5.7 per cent. On these results the party would have seven seats in Parliament. If ACT leader David Seymour could retain the Epsom seat, ACT would have four MPs.

The poll comes after a tumultuous few weeks in New Zealand politics, which has been rocked by a series of scandals.

Advertisement

Advertise with NZME.

Labour minister Iain Lees-Galloway was sacked last week for an inappropriate relationship with a female staffer - days after National MP Andrew Falloon was sacked for sending a pornographic image to a teenager. Police are now investigating after it emerged he sent other images to at least five women.

The last Newshub-Reid Research poll in May signalled the end of Bridges, who was rolled by Muller shortly after.

Muller resigned after fallout from his handling of the Hamish Walker Covid-19 patient leak scandal.

Walker has also resigned after admitting leaking the information to journalists.

In May, the National Party plummeted to 30 per cent in the first public poll since the Covid-19 crisis took hold.

The poll had National at 30.6 - while Labour rocketed up to 56.5 per cent under Ardern's leadership through the Covid-19 crisis.

Advertisement

Advertise with NZME.

As preferred PM, Ardern was then at 59.5 per cent - up 20.8 points on the last poll and the highest any Prime Minister has scored in the poll's history.

National's worst ever election result was in 2002 when then leader Bill English led the party to 20.93 per cent of the vote.

Advertisement

Advertise with NZME.

Latest from New Zealand

New ZealandUpdated

Live: State of emergency - hundreds evacuated in Nelson after river breaches banks

17 Aug 07:49 AM
New Zealand|EducationUpdated

Auckland high school placed into lockdown following fight

17 Aug 07:33 AM
New Zealand|PoliticsUpdated

Posties stop delivering flyers for October's local body elections

17 Aug 07:15 AM
New Zealand|Crime

For Sale: Lifestyle block formerly owned by meth ring's middle-aged bookkeeper

17 Aug 07:12 AM
New Zealand

Farm managers kept curtains closed to avoid gaze of camera installed by boss

17 Aug 07:03 AM

Most Popular

Premium
NZ's highest paid CEO: Fletcher boss takes home $6.58m
Business

NZ's highest paid CEO: Fletcher boss takes home $6.58m

17 Aug 05:30 AM
Adrian Orr fronts media after RBNZ hikes OCR by 50bp
Business

Adrian Orr fronts media after RBNZ hikes OCR by 50bp

17 Aug 02:00 AM
'Incredibly unsettling': Police update on suitcase homicide mystery
New Zealand|Crime

'Incredibly unsettling': Police update on suitcase homicide mystery

17 Aug 01:32 AM

Advertisement

Advertise with NZME.
About NZMEHelp & SupportContact UsSubscribe to NZ HeraldHouse Rules
Manage Your Print SubscriptionNZ Herald E-EditionAdvertise with NZMEBook Your AdPrivacy Policy
Terms of UseCompetition Terms & ConditionsSubscriptions Terms & Conditions
© Copyright 2022 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP