NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / New Zealand

Audrey Young: The odds are stacked against Simon Bridges beating Ardern on Budget day

Audrey Young
By Audrey Young
Senior Political Correspondent·NZ Herald·
11 May, 2018 05:00 PM5 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Prime Minister of New Zealand, Jacinda Ardern, talks about the budget focus.
Audrey Young
Opinion by Audrey Young
Audrey Young, Senior Political Correspondent at the New Zealand Herald based at Parliament, specialises in writing about politics and power.
Learn more

Next Thursday afternoon, Simon Bridges is going to give his biggest speech since winning the leadership of the National Party.

He will be the first MP to reply to the delivery of Grant Robertson's first Budget.

Jacinda Ardern will be there speaking straight after Bridges, but as Prime Minister she has had a six-month head start.

She is on top of her game. She is well-briefed across all of Government because of the Budget process, that much is evident by the way she has been handling all incoming issues from Bridges during question time.

Since her return from Europe, she has also been exhibiting a confidence and harder edge in parliamentary combat. There has been no evidence of a gentler way of doing politics.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The odds are stacked against Bridges making a big impression. He will have only 60 minutes to read the Budget, prepare a speech and comb his hair before entering the chamber.

It can be a demoralising day for the Opposition. It has to fight for visibility and relevance as the Government wheels out its blueprint.

Bridges should be relatively match fit. He is midway through his town hall meetings across the country, which are drawing respectable crowds. He was also an associate finance minister in the last Government.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

But because of the time constraints, it will be seat of the pants stuff. He will be relying largely on his new team, some of whom have disappointed and some of whom have shone.

If it is not obvious already, he will soon learn which of them is across their portfolio and can zero in quickly on weaknesses for National to exploit.

On current performance that will be Chris Bishop with police, Judith Collins in housing, Paul Goldsmith with economic development, Nikki Kaye in education and Jami-Lee Ross in transport.

Bishop, for example, made good use of the House to extract an admission from Labour that it is counting 880 new police officers funded from National's last Budget as part of the Coalition's promised 1800 new police officers.

Discover more

Construction

Calls for Budget to address housing, infrastructure

14 May 02:23 AM
New Zealand|politics

More funds in Budget for special education

11 May 05:00 PM
Economy

Liam Dann: PM issues 'boring' Budget warning

13 May 11:27 PM
Opinion

Audrey Young: Manifesto promises are promises no more

18 May 05:00 PM

One critical player has not yet shone. Bridges' main leadership rival Amy Adams was the obvious choice as Bridges' finance spokeswoman as a details person and a former associate finance minister.

But she has largely been missing in action at a vital stage of the build-up to the Budget.

She has asked questions of Robertson in only three of the past nine Question Times and had three weeks away on the Speaker's Tour to Europe and related travel. Next week should be her time to shine but more than likely she will still be getting up to speed.

In the meantime, others have been running the battle over the Budget in a bid to counter the Government's relentless narrative that after "Nine years of Neglect", Labour has been left to address various crises in health, education and housing.

Every so often Paula Bennett fails to zip it when she should.

It has been effective in its simplicity.

National's counter-attack is that this Government will borrow more, tax more and spend more, that it is awash with cash and that if things are tight, that is because it over-promised.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Little did National suspect New Zealand First leader and Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters would advance National's narrative with his whopping $900 million funding boost for Foreign Affairs over four years, $714m of which is to go on foreign aid (ODA).

National could not have scripted it better, but it had a go. National has been running social media ads this week featuring its own script on a Peters poster: "$1 billion more for diplomats vs cheaper GP visits."

That has been shortened to Diplomats vs Doctors. Deceptive, yes, but effective in its simplicity.

It sounds less impressive when averaged out. It represents on average $178.5m more a year for overseas aid, which has $613.64m in the current year.

But its emblematic value to National is multiple: it is harder for Labour to suggest it is dealing with funding crises in health and education when it delivers so generously to a ministry that couldn't be more divorced from ordinary people.

It suggests, perhaps, that it is more a case of New Zealand second, not first, to Peters' supporters.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

It shows the raw power Peters has in the Government. He got a 30 per cent increase for ODA but it could just as easily have been 40 or 50 per cent.

Labour itself has indulged in deceptive Budget politics this week, repeatedly suggesting family violence was an area National neglected for nine years.

National was slow to defend its efforts, including a $132m prevention package in 2016 to address this scourge, which costs taxpayers $1.4 billion and takes up 40 per cent of police time.

Amy Adams and Anne Tolley, who led the work in Government, could have instantly countered the deception but said nothing.

The performance of Bridges' new team has been patchy, including that of his deputy Paula Bennett.

Every so often, Paula Bennett fails to zip it when she should, as was evidenced this week in a stupid tweet criticising Ardern for sharing a music play list to mark New Zealand music month.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

"Ardern mixes her playlist for NZ music month," Bennett tweeted. "When I was a minister I barely had time to listen to a song. I thought running the country was a fulltime job."

Quick as a flash, the Spinoff's Toby Manhire thanked Bennett for the Guns n Roses review she did for him when she was Deputy Prime Minister, and tweet-loads of scorn piled upon her after that.

Bennett and Bridges and a small team - Todd McClay, Jami-Lee Ross and Gerry Brownlee - are carrying the strategic role that was previously concentrated in Steven Joyce, identifying National's best targets and lines of attack.

They are about to face their biggest challenge but also their biggest opportunity.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from New Zealand

New Zealand

'A let-down': Iwi challenges DoC, minister over ski field deals

18 Jun 09:18 AM
New Zealand

Police investigating after body found in Christchurch carpark

18 Jun 09:17 AM
New Zealand

Numbers revealed for tonight's $25m Powerball jackpot

18 Jun 08:23 AM

Jono and Ben brew up a tea-fuelled adventure in Sri Lanka

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from New Zealand

'A let-down': Iwi challenges DoC, minister over ski field deals

'A let-down': Iwi challenges DoC, minister over ski field deals

18 Jun 09:18 AM

They allege the Crown ignored Treaty obligations by not engaging with them.

Police investigating after body found in Christchurch carpark

Police investigating after body found in Christchurch carpark

18 Jun 09:17 AM
Numbers revealed for tonight's $25m Powerball jackpot

Numbers revealed for tonight's $25m Powerball jackpot

18 Jun 08:23 AM
Premium
Has Tory Whanau's experience put women off running for mayor?

Has Tory Whanau's experience put women off running for mayor?

18 Jun 07:26 AM
Help for those helping hardest-hit
sponsored

Help for those helping hardest-hit

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP