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Home / Business

Erica Stanford faces greatest NCEA test – Matthew Hooton

Matthew Hooton
By Matthew Hooton
NZ Herald·
24 Jul, 2025 05:00 PM6 mins to read

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Education Minister Erica Stanford announced the Government is ditching open-plan classrooms for standard designs. Video / RNZ
Matthew Hooton
Opinion by Matthew Hooton
Matthew Hooton has more than 30 years’ experience in political and corporate strategy, including the National and Act parties.
Learn more

KEY FACTS

  • Government officials, parents and principals are losing faith in NCEA’s credibility and effectiveness.
  • Education Minister Erica Stanford is expected to announce substantial proposals for NCEA’s future.
  • Epsom Girls Grammar will offer Cambridge exams next year, citing overwhelming community demand

Erica Stanford has quietly become the most consequential Education Minister this century.

If bold enough to abolish the NCEA, she would fully deserve equal billing with Chris Bishop, Nicola Willis and Simeon Brown as Christopher Luxon’s potential successors.

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Arguably, Stanford’s most important move was the simplest: her ban on smartphones in schools informed by New York University’s Professor Jonathan Haidt.

The damage smartphones do to developing minds is comparable to alcohol and cannabis, so that nothing else will much matter if they’re not sensibly regulated.

At least, they must be kept out of schools, which Stanford delivered three weeks after being sworn in.

Likewise, no amount of money or other reforms would much matter if primary students remained in barn-like so-called modern learning environments (MLEs), pushed on schools by the Key Government for reasons never properly explained and retained by Jacinda Ardern’s Education Minister, Chris Hipkins.

Effectively compulsory until Stanford arrived, she quickly made MLEs voluntary and has now banned new ones from being built altogether.

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But these were quick-win prerequisites to ensure structured learning could begin again in primary classrooms.

Stanford also began the much more difficult work of restoring content and rigour to the school curriculum.

First were new maths and English curricula, spelling out clearly what teachers are meant to teach, and how.

That departs from recent decades, when subject curricula would instead focus on “outcomes”, leaving teachers to work out what to do for their students to achieve them.

Now, practical teaching resources are included in curriculum documents, with over 800,000 new maths resources already provided to primary schools.

That the curriculum was not just launched but is already being implemented in 92% of primary schools suggests Stanford has a rare ability to force bureaucrats to do what she wants, rather than the reverse.

It’s too simplistic to call Stanford’s new maths and English curricula “back to basics”, but they do focus more on teachers passing on knowledge to students than on facilitating “learners” to discover or invent knowledge themselves.

The latter can wait for primary students to start their post-graduate work in a decade or two. In the meantime, Stanford’s curriculum assumes there’s foundational stuff they need to learn first. Following maths and English, the next priorities are the natural sciences, the social sciences, health, and Te Reo Māori.

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Stanford’s curriculum reforms will become harder politically as they move into more contested subjects. But the politics may be easier if her focus remains on foundational knowledge, delivered in a structured environment, in a logical sequence, rather than trying to introduce the latest and most advanced theories in primary classrooms.

Kids need to learn addition before multiplication, how to read before how to interpret texts, about atoms before electrons, and that the Treaty of Waitangi was signed in 1840 between the British Crown and Māori chiefs before considering how well it has been honoured.

As these students reach secondary school, Stanford’s next big decision is how to extend her approach into the qualifications system and what to do about NCEA.

Political blame for NCEA can be shared widely. Every party in Parliament has been part of a government that contributed to the fiasco, and all were warned by the country’s best educators that it would dumb down secondary education and lead to a two-tier system, benefiting the rich and well connected at the expense of the middle class and poor.

Everyone meant well. The NCEA’s origins were David Lange and Phil Goff’s Learning for Life report, which recommended establishing the New Zealand Qualifications Authority (NZQA) “to provide an across-the-board approach to the validation of qualifications in schools and in vocational and advanced academic areas”.

This was a response to everyone needing some form of higher education in a more advanced economy, and a desire to break down the distinction and allow cross-crediting between vocational training and academic study.

National’s Lockwood Smith saw the advantages in trying to clearly define what knowledge, understanding and skills students and people in the workforce were meant to achieve, and to worry less about where they might develop them and more about whether they had.

He was backed by employers who argued they needed to know exactly what potential recruits knew and could do rather than that they had scored 59, 71 or 82 in an exam. The proposed system was at the centre of Smith’s Education for the 21st Century, which I ghost-wrote.

But politicians should always be wary of utopianism, and the idea that NZQA or anyone else could write or validate rigorous outcomes statements for the entirety of human knowledge and capabilities, and then operate a system giving each student a detailed certificate accurately recording what they knew and could do was preposterous.

To National’s credit, it was never confident to finally press go on the new system. That was left to Helen Clark’s Labour Government.

The Key and Ardern-Hipkins Governments then set up review panels and made tweaks, but basically left the system unchanged. Meanwhile, the universities never took the system seriously while increasing numbers of schools adopted foreign systems or tried to develop their own.

The upshot is NCEA delivering the opposite of that intended. If students go to a school offering Cambridge or the International Baccalaureate or take a traditional university route, their qualification is taken seriously, domestically and internationally.

If they don’t, they’re left with the NCEA which isn’t. You don’t need to be a Marxist to see who that has benefited, and it is surely not those Lange, Goff or anyone intended. Now, as revealed by the Weekend Herald, even the left-wing education bureaucracy accepts NCEA has failed.

Stanford faces probably the most consequential decision she’ll ever make. Will she follow the Key and Ardern-Hipkins Governments and try to save NCEA with another review? Or will she accept the whole concept was utopian from the outset, and has delivered the catastrophic unintended consequences utopian visions invariably bring?

For better or worse, schools, parents and students have tended to favour Cambridge, an internationally recognised qualification originally developed for Third World countries without their own systems. Singapore used it for many years after independence while getting its house in order.

The least-disruptive option would be Stanford following Singapore’s approach, abolishing NCEA from Year 11 next year, and engaging with Cambridge to roll out its system nationwide.

That would require demanding Cambridge work with New Zealand experts to develop rigorous assessments for subjects like New Zealand history and Te Reo Maori. For a long-term, nationwide contract, it would surely be prepared to do so. Like Singapore, we would then progressively evolve Cambridge’s exams into a genuinely New Zealand system.

Stanford moved swiftly and boldly on smartphones, MLEs and curriculum reform. The same is needed to quickly put the multi-decade, multi-party NCEA disaster behind us.

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