Debate over the timing of any Fed tapering of its US$85 billion a month of bond buying programme has been sharpened by the federal shutdown that ended last month, which may yet have contributed to a slight cooling of the world's biggest economy.
Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans told CNBC that it would be tough for the central bank to make a call this year because it needs to see more evidence the economy is on a recovery track.
"I think we need a couple of good labour reports and evidence of increasing growth, GDP growth," he said. "It is probably going to take a few months to sort that one out."
Lawmakers in Washington kicked the budget and debt ceiling debate back out to early 2014, buying some time to reach accord but there are signs in debt markets that Democrats and Republicans will struggle to find common ground.
At the US Treasury's auction of US$35 billion of three-month bills, which mature just as Washington has to focus again on the budget, investors bid for 4.03 times the amount on offer. That's below the average bid-to-cover ratio of 4.64 at the 40 bill sales this year before the Oct. 1 shutdown, Bloomberg reported, citing Treasury data.
"Even as people feel more confident about the front end, we are still fielding questions from clients regarding what maturities they should stay away from for the next debt ceiling issue," Kenneth Silliman, head of US short-term rates trading at Toronto-Dominion Bank's TD Securities unit in New York, told Bloomberg. "Having just avoided this bullet, they want to pre-emptively avoid the next one."
Crude oil fell as US stockpiles rose in the week ended Oct.11, after the data was delayed by the government shutdown. Stockpiles had fallen for 14 straight weeks, according to Bloomberg.
US oil futures were down as much as US$1.73 to US$99.08 a barrel in late US trading. Brent crude futures for December delivery fell 38 US cents to US$109.56 a barrel.
Meantime, shares of McDonald's fell 0.9 per cent to US$94.31 after the world's largest restaurant chain reported third quarter sales that missed estimates and warned that global sales from existing restaurants had been flat this month and likely to remain so through the fourth quarter because of tepid global economic growth and increased rivalry.
Sales rose 2.4 per cent to US$7.32 billion in the most recent three months, just missing analyst estimates of US$7.33 billion.
The shares have gained 6.7 per cent in the past 12 months, lagging behind the S&P 500's 21 per cent advance.