"New Zealand households started the year off with a bang," said Westpac Banking Corp senior economist Satish Ranchhod. Westpac had expected a 0.6 per cent gain, while the market consensus was for a 0.5 per cent lift.
"January's strong rise in spending was underpinned by a lift in durable spending," Ranchhod said.
"Stats NZ has attributed this to spending associated with increased purchases of 'back to school' supplies, which increasingly include electronic devices. However, we have also seen a second-wind in the housing market that is likely to have boosted spending on durable items. Spending on hospitality was also up, suggesting that New Zealanders were getting out and taking advantage of the hot weather at the start of the year."
Westpac expected to see continued strength in spending in the early part of 2018 as mortgage rates edged down and on renewed strength in the housing market.
However, Ranchhod said this strength was expected to ease back somewhat over the year due to a gradual easing of population growth from current strong levels and a cooling in housing demand due to new government policies which will dampen growth in consumer spending.
Today's figures showed actual total retail spending climbed 3.4 per cent to $5.3 billion in January from the same month a year earlier. Card-holders across all industries made 141 million transactions in the month, down from 161 million in December but ahead of the 133 million transactions recorded in January last year. The average value of $50 was unchanged from January last year, but down from $53 in December.