While overall sales at US DSW stores fell 3% in the most recent quarter, sales of athletic footwear, including Nike, rose 16%.
The positive momentum at sneaker chains across consumer categories - from fashion, to family, to speciality - underscores the optimism for athletic footwear writ large, if not for Nike. Earlier this month, the swoosh withdrew its financial guidance for the year and reported a 10% drop in sales over the three-month period ended in August.
“Footwear is interesting because it can be recession-proof in a sense,” said Matt Priest, chief executive of the Footwear Distributors and Retailers of America, a US trade association.
Even in adverse economic conditions with interest rates high, albeit coming down, “people still buy shoes in lieu of a new car or a washing machine”, he said.
Global retail sales of sports footwear totalled $165b in 2023, up 23% from 2018, according to Euromonitor. Growth occurred in every geographic region, led by Latin America, up 38%, while Asia Pacific and North America remained the top two largest markets.
In the US, where 99% of footwear is imported, sneakers are on the rise. Imports of athletic shoes are up more than 10% year over year through August, Priest said, compared to a rise of just 1% for all footwear.
Industry experts and retailers say the segment is performing well in part because of the broader “casualisation” of society, in which trainers are increasingly acceptable footwear in the workplace and for going out.
“Once you discover that you can wear sneakers for almost everything, you hardly ever go back to heels”, Foot Locker chief executive Mary Dillon said last month.
The fortunes of Foot Locker were once so closely tied to Nike that both companies cited one another for years in regulatory filings as their sole significant customer.
The proportion of Foot Locker’s inventory from Nike and its subsidiary Jordan brand peaked at 75% in 2020, falling to 65% last year.
At an investor conference last month, Dillon said Nike would “always” be an important partner, but emphasised the chain’s expanded offering of other brands, including Hoka, New Balance and On.
“Customers are voting. People want choice in this category. It’s very clear. They’re buying multiple brands and ... using them for lots of different occasions,” Dillon said.
Some of the increased competitiveness in athletic footwear can be attributed to factors precipitated by Nike.
In 2017, the industry leader announced an aggressive plan to shift its sales strategy towards a direct-to-consumer model, moving away from what it called “mediocre retail”.
This opened up shelf space at chains like Foot Locker for other brands.
That same year, Nike debuted its transformational Vaporfly 4% running shoe with improved foam and a carbon fibre plate in the sole, setting off an innovation arms race across the industry.
But Nike executives acknowledged the company pushed too hard into direct and online sales and failed to catch up with consumers who returned to shopping in stores as pandemic lockdowns eased.
It is now working to win back retail partners.
“Our teams have been closely engaging with our partners since we acknowledged some of the missteps related to over-centring on direct [sales]”, said Matthew Friend, Nike’s chief financial officer, this month.
Foot Locker has said it expects a “return to growth” with Nike this year.
Victor Ornelas, senior director of vendor management at Fleet Feet, a speciality chain for runners with 280 locations across the US, told the FT that “we have experienced an increase in energy and connections” from Nike beginning this year.
UK-based athletic shoe chain JD Sports posted falling profits for the half-year through August, due in part to the closure of a distribution centre and acquisition and divestment costs.
But chief executive Régis Schultz told reporters: “Nike will be fine, it’s a question of time, it’s a strong brand.”
Still, brands other than Nike have stepped up.
At Foot Locker’s flagship store in New York City, autumn displays this month featured Timberland boots and Ugg slides, as well as prominent showcases for New Balance and Hoka.
Ornelas of Fleet Feet said brands are distinguishing themselves with footwear that can be used for various purposes - fusing the latest technology of performance foam soles, useful for running, with an upper part of the shoe in neutral colours that can be worn with a range of outfits.
“We are heavy into booking season right now for [shoes that will arrive in spring] 2025, and we’ve never seen product this strong,” said Ornelas.
Written by: Sara Germano in New York
© Financial Times
