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Home / World

Victoria braces for possible tornadic supercells, Sydney's all-time yearly rainfall record will fall

By Hamish Spence
news.com.au·
6 Oct, 2022 02:20 AM6 mins to read

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Eastern SA, western NSW and western Victoria saw heavy rain overnight. Photo / Twitter

Eastern SA, western NSW and western Victoria saw heavy rain overnight. Photo / Twitter

Victoria could be hit by tornadic supercells as a dangerous weather event takes full effect across the state.

Heavy rainfall and possibly severe thunderstorms are expected over the next two days as a cold front moves across the state, but that wild weather could become even more extreme.

Sky News meteorologist Alison Osborne warned there was "the risk of tornadic supercells".

"That means tornadoes, large hailstones, damaging wind gusts and isolated heavy rainfall over northwestern Victoria," she said.

"This includes places like Echuca, Swan Hill, and Mildura, possibly extending it to southern NSW. That strong threat will rapidly ease into the early hours of tomorrow morning."

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Daily rainfall totals of 30-50mm are forecast across the state during these weather events, while a severe weather warning for heavy rainfall is current for parts of Mallee and Northern Country forecast districts.

A wet 🌧️ & windy 💨Wednesday. The highest rainfall across the north (10-20mm already recorded in the NW), a chance of flash flooding today & river rises over the next few days

Keep 👀 on #VicWeather & warnings: https://t.co/yVizEklrz2
& advice from @vicsesnews @vicemergency pic.twitter.com/qIZcJGo6AQ

— Bureau of Meteorology, Victoria (@BOM_Vic) October 4, 2022

The bureau has issued minor flood warnings for the Kiewa, Loddon and Snowy rivers, while there is a flood watch for northern and parts of southern Victoria.

Major flooding is possible in the northeast from Friday afternoon.

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There is also a gale-force wind warning for the east Gippsland coast on Thursday.

Further north in NSW, Sydney is set to break its all-time yearly rainfall record this weekend despite nearly three months of 2022 left.

The city is already experiencing its second-wettest year in the 164 years since rainfall records started being kept in 1858.

As of 7.30am on Thursday, Sydney is a bit more than 25mm off the all-time record of 2194mm set in 1950.

Rainfall totals of more than 50mm have fallen in less than 24 hours since 9am on Wednesday across Greater Sydney in areas like Hornsby.

Bureau of Meteorology meteorologist Jonathan How described the wild situation as "incredible".

This thing is enormous. Eastern SA, western NSW and western Vic saw heavy rain overnight and the system is now heading east. Numerous flood warnings are in place so please check our warnings page https://t.co/PtF5gqmTIW pic.twitter.com/3sursR6f9B

— Weatherzone (@weatherzone) October 5, 2022

"We are about one inch [25mm] off breaking the all-time annual record and that is extremely significant because records at the Sydney CBD site go back to the 1850s," he told Sunrise on Thursday.

"There's still more than two months to go this year, so Sydney is on track to break the record this weekend.

"Many across Sydney know it's been an incredibly wet year and that record proves that."

Osborne agreed that Sydney's record would fall by the weekend, while flood-affected areas across NSW are set for another deluge.

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"Right the way through until midnight Sunday … falls between 50 and 150mm are expected," she said.

"That will easily see Sydney take over to their wettest year on record and it's falling over catchments that certainly don't need it."

Rainfall since 9am yesterday includes parts of #Illawarra, #Hunter and Greater #Sydney recording more than 50mm of rain. Rain over inland areas of #NSW today is expected to be lighter as the focus shifts to the southeast.
See warnings, forecasts & radar: https://t.co/REl2VBlGnA pic.twitter.com/VNC3AB8zvT

— Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales (@BOM_NSW) October 5, 2022

NSW SES has 47 flood warnings in place across the state. Fifteen are to "watch and act", the rest are "advice" warnings.

That includes a flood watch being issued by the bureau for possible minor to moderate flooding around Greater Sydney and the Illawarra along the Hawkesbury and Upper Nepean rivers.

Across Sydney, Wakehurst Parkway is closed in both directions due to flooding, while Audley Weir and Oxford Falls Rd are also closed.

Fun Fact - we are 278 days into 2022. It has rained in Sydney for 157 of those days. A little primary school math and that's around 56%. More wet days than dry this year in Sydney. #notsofunfact

— Alison Osborne (@Alison_Osborne_) October 5, 2022

Western areas around the state, including Forbes, Warren, Dubbo, Nyngan and Bathurst, have been advised to be on high alert for possible floods throughout Thursday.

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The bureau said communities like these could experience more flooding over the coming weeks due to the heavy deluges they had had in recent times.

"Many communities that recently experienced flooding or are currently in flood will likely see rivers rise in the coming week," it said in a statement.

"The ground remains saturated, and any additional rainfall will cause streams and rivers to rise."

But state Emergency Services Minister Steph Cooke expressed confidence the government and SES were prepared for the situation.

"We are seeing challenges on multiple fronts across NSW at present. Across the western parts of the state we have got multiple river systems that are in floodwaters to some extent, whether that be minor right through to major," she told the ABC.

"We have resources positioned where they may be needed, whether that's aircraft positioned around the west of NSW, we have got high-clearance vehicles in certain communities, we have got more than 500 SES volunteers out in the field at the moment.

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"It is going to be a challenging few days, but we are up to the challenge."

NSW SES performed four flood rescues and received 237 requests for assistance.

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