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Home / World

Trump says crime in Germany is way up. German statistics show the opposite

By Adam Taylor analysis
Washington Post·
18 Jun, 2018 08:19 PM4 mins to read

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German Chancellor Angela Merkel. Photo / AP

German Chancellor Angela Merkel. Photo / AP

In the midst of a domestic battle over his own Administration's strict immigration policy, US President Donald Trump took aim at Germany's Angela Merkel - arguing in a tweet that the German Chancellor's more open policies towards migration and refugees had led to a crisis in her government coalition.

But in making his argument against Merkel's "big mistake," Trump claimed that crime in Germany was "way up." That claim is not supported by recent statistics.

Trump tweeted "The people of Germany are turning against their leadership as migration is rocking the already tenuous Berlin coalition. Crime in Germany is way up. Big mistake made all over Europe in allowing millions of people in who have so strongly and violently changed their culture!"

Notably, Merkel's biggest challenger on immigration policy is on record as saying just last month that crime in Germany was the lowest it had been in decades.

Interior Minister Horst Seehofer had released new crime figures in May that pointed to an overall decline in Germany over the past year.

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The figures showed that 5.76 million crimes were reported in 2017 - a drop of 5 per cent from 2016 and the lowest number since 1992.

Given the increases in Germany's population, Seehofer told reporters in Berlin, this meant that Germany's reported crime rate was at the lowest it had been for three decades.

To put it simply, "Germany has become safer," Seehofer said.

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Seehofer is the leader of the Christian Social Union (CSU), a hard-right Bavarian party that has long been a crucial coalition partner for Merkel's centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU).

In defiance of the German Chancellor, Seehofer is seeking to impose new border controls on the country - a move that could see her coalition government collapse.

After the US President's tweet, Seehofer offered Merkel a temporary reprieve and said he would not implement the new controls for two weeks.

That could allow Merkel to reach deals with other European nations on migration, rather than turn migrants back unilaterally at the border.

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Trump has a history of tweeting inaccurate statements about crime and immigration in Europe.

However, it may not be surprising that Trump sees crime rising in Germany when in fact it appears to be falling - a considerable number of Germans feel the same way.

One poll conducted in April, for example, found that 41 per cent of the country felt that they were less safe in public spaces than five years ago. Fifty-one per cent, however, felt nothing had changed.

A study from last year found that much of the blame lay with media organisations, which often tend to focus on migrant-related crime rather than crime by German citizens.

1. Crime in Germany hit a 30-year low in March
2. Merkel remains the most popular politician in Germany
3. AfD flat on pre-election polling; pro-immigration Greens up
4. Trump-lite strategy has seen CSU fall in polls
5. 2/3 Germans consider it "pure electioneering"
Otherwise: 👍 https://t.co/D1MEsKyLMC

— Jeremy Cliffe (@JeremyCliffe) June 18, 2018

A close reading of German crime statistics does offer a complicated picture of crime trends.

There has been a sharp rise in the number of non-German suspects interviewed by police in Germany over the past five years, for example, and although violent crime dropped 2.4 per cent last year, it had already risen by 6.7 per cent between 2015 and 2016.

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There is certainly no doubt that the wave of more than a million refugees and migrants who arrived in Germany in 2015 and 2016 changed the country, resulting in strained relations between German citizens and their new guests.

However, despite concern about immigration in the country, Merkel probably remains the country's most popular political leader with a 50 per cent approval rating this month.

Trump, meanwhile, continues to be viewed negatively by many Germans.

In the same poll that found Merkel's high approval rating, 87 per cent of Germans were concerned that the US leader was exacerbating international conflicts.

Germany, and Merkel in particular, embody everything Trump dislikes: successful outward facing trade policy, pro-EU, multilateralism, rules-based, liberal & humane migration policy, tough on Russia, abhors nationalism. Differences that are also at the heart of the Europe debate https://t.co/YBPOwuwLqM

— Alberto Nardelli (@AlbertoNardelli) June 18, 2018

Nothing rallies German public opinion in Merkel's favor like a tweet attack from Donald Trump https://t.co/N1u5nDMxOw

— Mathieu von Rohr (@mathieuvonrohr) June 18, 2018

There's always a Fox & Friends clip... here's a segment Fox did about a half hour before Trump's Merkel tweet pic.twitter.com/4tfwW3IK7s

— Sarah Westwood (@sarahcwestwood) June 18, 2018
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