NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • Deloitte Fast 50
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / World

Swing-state focus group research offers clues on what Democrats have to do to win back young men

By Matthew Choi, Dan Merica
Washington Post·
30 Jul, 2025 06:00 PM5 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save
    Share this article
Supporters cheer as Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a Turning Point Action convention in Detroit on June 14, 2024. Photo / Jabin Botsford, the Washington Post

Supporters cheer as Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a Turning Point Action convention in Detroit on June 14, 2024. Photo / Jabin Botsford, the Washington Post

A striking result within the 2024 United States elections was that Republicans won young men.

While 55% supported Democrats in 2020, support dropped to 46% in 2024.

Young men of colour, in particular, swung towards Donald Trump, with Republicans noticeably gaining among Latino and black men aged from 18 to 29.

What happened? Focus group data are providing background information.

Young men in swing states say the Democratic Party abandoned them, leaving them feeling helpless in providing for their families as prices rose and jobs evaporated.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

They felt no sympathy from the left, who they say brushed away their legitimate economic woes by citing their male privilege.

They acknowledge historical patriarchy but assert that doesn’t make them invincible in a job market where graduate unemployment is concentrated among men.

Those are the latest findings in focus groups conducted by the centrist pro-Democratic group Third Way and HIT Strategies with men aged 18 to 29 from swing states including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The men were lower-propensity voters - more likely to turn out in a presidential year than a midterm - and voted for Joe Biden in 2020 but switched to Trump last year.

“The belief has been that men have it easier in the labour market, and that’s been true to a large extent. But that notion is at odds with the reality right now” for many young men as manufacturing gives way to the information age, said Joshua Doss, senior research manager at HIT Strategies.

“They talked about how they’re really watching the economy erode the types of jobs that they were told worked for them.”

Men feeling left behind elicits eye rolls in many corners of the Democratic Party.

The gender pay gap persists, with women making 85% of what men earned in 2024, despite greater female participation in the workforce than in past decades.

The numerous calls from party leaders to appeal to the “manosphere” and appear less “woke” also elicit concerns that that means throwing marginalised groups under the bus on issues like trans or women’s rights.

But that line of criticism only proves their point, said Lucas Holtz, a political analyst with Third Way.

“There is complete misconception from Democrats and especially from progressives about young men moving away from the party and takes from ‘It was all because of inflation’ to ‘The guys that supported Trump are incels and sexist,’” Holtz said.

“It’s just a really terrible stereotype that has backlash effect on Democrats.”

Appealing to young men has been discussed as a nearly existential question for Democrats, who haemorrhaged support in some of their traditionally most reliable demographics.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Former President Barack Obama sounded the alarm on former first lady Michelle Obama’s podcast this month, saying support for young men is often mistaken for neglect of women’s rights. But it’s not a zero-sum game.

“We don’t think about boys and just assume they’re going to be okay because they’ve been running the world and they’ve got all the advantages relative to the girls. And all of which has historically been true in all kinds of ways,” the former President said.

“We’ve made that mistake sometimes in terms of our rhetoric. Where it’s like we’re constantly talking about what’s wrong with the boys, instead of what’s right with them.”

Incidentally, Obama was the only Democrat focus group participants could name as a masculine role model from the party.

“I think being a masculine leader is, like, outlawed in the Democratic Party right now,” one participant said.

Trump broke through with economic promises that appealed to many young men’s desires to be financially self-sufficient and support their families.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

The focus group participants were not heavy news consumers, largely informed through social media and podcasts, but they were still able to list Trump’s economic policy promises, such as no taxes on tips, which Republicans passed into law in their recent tax cuts legislation.

Focus group participants said Democratic messaging, especially to young black and Latino men, felt like pandering to their race, if it was ever directed to them at all.

“They brought out, like, rappers and stuff. And it’s, you know, nothing against rappers, but it’s like, what does that do for me?” one black participant said.

For all the pull Republicans achieved among young men, many still remained unsold in either direction.

Men aged 18 to 29 are the least likely to support Democrats of any age and gender group at only 34%, but they are also the most uncommitted either way, at 13% , according to the Pew Research Centre.

While they supported Trump’s policies that they thought would speak to their economic concerns, they disapproved of policies that they thought harmed others.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Deportation without due process and punishing tariffs applied to foreign countries came up as examples.

Doss and Holtz said that gives Democrats ample opportunity to win young men back.

Concise aspirational economic messages, something that can be condensed into a three-word slogan, performed well, they found.

Several focus group participants also responded well to Democratic leaders who spoke directly to them, whether it was former transportation secretary Pete Buttigieg speaking with podcaster Andrew Schulz about connecting with differing viewpoints or Maryland Governor Wes Moore talking about the need to invest in young men.

“A straight talker, you know, someone that’s not, like, beating around the bush,” one participant said of who would be an ideal candidate.

“Somebody that just is not afraid to say what they feel. That’s a very masculine trait.”

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Save
    Share this article

Latest from World

World

Head of victim in Beauty and the Geek murder case allegedly found by dogwalker

World

Sweden verdict due over pilot burned alive

World

Iconic French chef stakes reputation on vegan menu


Sponsored

Saving NZ’s rarest species

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from World

Head of victim in Beauty and the Geek murder case allegedly found by dogwalker
World

Head of victim in Beauty and the Geek murder case allegedly found by dogwalker

Police earlier spent weeks searching for the head of Julian Story without success.

31 Jul 05:16 AM
Sweden verdict due over pilot burned alive
World

Sweden verdict due over pilot burned alive

31 Jul 05:04 AM
Iconic French chef stakes reputation on vegan menu
World

Iconic French chef stakes reputation on vegan menu

31 Jul 03:10 AM


Saving NZ’s rarest species
Sponsored

Saving NZ’s rarest species

30 Jul 09:40 PM
NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP