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Home / World

South Korea fertility rate is world's lowest – and dropping

By Benedict Brook
news.com.au·
26 Aug, 2022 05:25 AM4 mins to read

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Countries generally need a birthrate of 2.1 to keep a population stable without increasing immigration. Photo / Getty Images

Countries generally need a birthrate of 2.1 to keep a population stable without increasing immigration. Photo / Getty Images

South Korea has recorded the world's lowest fertility rate with worries it is on the cusp of what's being dubbed an "age quake".

The nation's fertility rate fell to lower than one child per woman in 2018.

But new government data has now revealed the fertility rate has dropped even more – to just 0.81 babies per woman.

It is the sixth year in a row the figure has declined.

Countries generally need a birthrate of 2.1 to keep a population stable without increasing immigration.

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The average across the world is 1.6 children. But no major country other than South Korea is below one child, reported the BBC.

The country's crude birthrate – the number of births per 1000 people – also hit 5.1, down from 5.3 the previous year.

In 2020, the number of deaths in the country of 52 million exceeded the number of births for the first time.

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Last year just 260,000 children were born. In 1970, that figure was one million.

Seoul, South Korea. Photo / Getty Images
Seoul, South Korea. Photo / Getty Images

'Age quake' concerns

It has stoked concerns of an "age quake", a phenomenon where a country that has more older people and fewer younger people to support them could lead to economic and social crises.

The term was coined by British author and demographer Paul Wallace in 1999. Korea was called out then as a nation that could experience an age quake earlier than others due to its disastrous demographics.

An ageing population means there are higher healthcare and other costs but fewer younger people to fill tax coffers to fund that spending. It also means the country could have a shortage of workers.

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By 2026, the elderly could make up 20 per cent of Korea's entire population. The working population could drop by a third over the next three decades.

It is the sixth year in a row the birthrate has declined in South Korea. Photo / Getty Images
It is the sixth year in a row the birthrate has declined in South Korea. Photo / Getty Images

A tough employment market, unequal pay, the high cost of living and raising children, and a difficulty in getting back into well-paid work after having kids have all been cited as factors in Korea's extraordinarily low birth rate.

Employers are said to be too focused on employing younger people rather than giving opportunities to older Koreans.

Also, in many cases, women are still expected to look after the home and children rather than it being a shared task.

Many women are now putting off having children until they feel they have an established career.

The average age women give birth in South Korea is creeping up, from 33.1 in 2020 to 33.4 in 2022.

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Indeed, the fertility rate for women above 35 years of age has risen and the rate for women in their early 40s is the highest ever, showing people are delaying starting a family.

In 2021, the interior ministry in Seoul called for "fundamental changes" to balance the country's demographics.

Koreans now receive a baby bonus of 2 million won ($2407) as well as 300,000 won ($361) every month for the first year of the child's life.

Busy street in Seoul. Concerns are that South Korea is on the cusp of an "age quake". Photo / Getty Images
Busy street in Seoul. Concerns are that South Korea is on the cusp of an "age quake". Photo / Getty Images

Countries with highest – and lowest – birthrates

The country with the second-lowest fertility rate in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries – a grouping of mostly developed nations – is Italy.

Its fertility rate of 1.2 births per woman is far above South Korea – but still some way below the ideal of 2.1 births.

Australia's fertility rate is 1.58, having fallen from 1.79 in 2016. That's the country's lowest birthrate for a decade.

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Countries close to or above the 2.1 rate include Mexico, Peru, South Africa, Saudi Arabia and Indonesia.

A number of African countries – including Niger and Angola – have the world's highest birthrates.

While Israel's fertility rate is dropping, it nonetheless has one of the world's leading fertility rates among developed nations with on average 2.9 children per woman.

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