Published in the Australian yesterday, Newspoll reported a 4 per cent swing to the Coalition since the 2010 election, opening its lead over Labor to 54-46 per cent in the two-party preferred vote that decides Australian elections.
Still insisting that Labor could win despite the polls, Rudd yesterday continued his assault on Abbott's diplomatic skills, deriding the Opposition leader's summation of the Syrian crisis as simplistic.
In a weekend ABC TV interview Abbott said he preferred a political solution to a civil war waged by "two pretty unsavoury" sides. "It's not goodies versus baddies," he said. "It's baddies versus baddies."
Rudd said Abbott was trivialising a serious issue of foreign policy, international relations and national security: "The last time I used the term 'goodies and baddies' was when I was playing cowboys and Indians in the backyard. I think I stopped doing that about the age of 10 ...
"If you're uncertain about what Mr Abbott's putting out there, then I think listen to your instincts and don't vote for him."
Abbott returned fire yesterday, describing Rudd's attack as "hyperventilation" and defending his use of "colloquialisms" to explain complex affairs: "People such as [UK Prime Minister] David Cameron and [former US President] Bill Clinton have referred to 'good guys' and 'not so good guys."'
Rudd has himself fallen into troubled international waters during the campaign. Without consulting Cabinet colleagues and speaking outside Government policy, he suggested foreign investment rules should be tightened, upsetting important investors such as China. Labor later said no changes were planned.
And Rudd's intention to order a review into the possible relocation of much of the navy from its fleet base in Sydney to Queensland brought down the wrath of the New South Wales Government, the Opposition, and defence analysts. It also raised more hackles in China, which sees US forces in Australia and plans to support them as a potential threat.
Abbott said he would need to counter growing American perceptions that Labor was "freeloading" on the US for the nation's defence.