Restaurants have a nervous eye on an upcoming deadline when steeper tariffs kick in

Drinks are a profit driver for United States restaurants, but higher import costs have eaten into margins and fed into consumer prices. Photo / David Hall

Brazilian coffee beans, French champagne and Chinese teas.

Drinks are a profit driver for United States restaurants, but higher import costs have eaten into margins and fed into consumer prices in the three months since President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping global tariffs.

A stone’s throw from the White House, a restaurant group that takes pride in dishing up fresh local meat and produce has found itself having to raise prices on its menus.

“The reality is, we have to pass along some of those to our guests,” said John Filkins, corporate beverage director at Clyde’s Restaurant Group.

“Could be anywhere from 50 cents to US$1 on certain wines by the glass, or spirits, or some of our food menu items,” he told AFP.

“We’ve seen huge increases in coffee and in teas, and we’re beginning to see some of those increases in food, as well as paper products coming on through as well,” he added.

Clyde’s, which opened in the 1960s in Washington, has more than a dozen restaurants in and around the US capital.

One of them is the Hamilton in downtown Washington, where drinks prices have ticked up.

While management has tried to limit increases, Filkins said this has been tough.

Businesses have encountered snarled supply chains and higher costs since Trump imposed fresh tariffs after returning to the presidency in January.

In April, the President unleashed his widest-ranging salvo, a 10% duty on imports from most trading partners. This is expected to surge to higher levels for dozens of economies.

Leaders like Filkins are eyeing a deadline next Wednesday when the steeper tariffs are due to kick in.

These are customised to each partner, with the level for European Union products rising to 20% and that for Japanese goods jumping to 24% unless they strike deals to avert or lower the rates.

Filkins warned that the longer tariffs remain in place, the fewer small, independent distributors, importers and restaurants there might be.

“The hope is we don’t see tariffs to the extent where we’re seeing them any longer,” he added.

“Restaurants are, at the end of the day, typically low cash, low margin,” Filkins said.

A typical outfit probably runs “in the single digits in terms of profit margin”, he noted.

This means that cutting out 10% to 15% of their profit for wine by the glass, for example, could prove a significant blow.

Clyde’s sources coffee beans from places like Brazil and Indonesia for its blends, while getting teas from India and China.

“Over the course of the last probably six months, we’ve seen about a 20 to 30% increase of that cost,” Filkins said.

This is partly because suppliers and distributors are not only paying the 10% tariff but forking out more due to exchange rates.

Imports from China face a 30% tariff currently even though Washington and Beijing have temporarily lowered tit-for-tat levies on each other’s goods.

Without a deal, products from Indonesia face a 32% duty, and the rate for India spikes to 26%.

“For liquor, beer and wine, most of the wine we import comes from the EU,” Filkins said, noting the impact is biggest on products from France, Italy, Spain and Portugal so far.

Yet, his company is trying to hold off passing on additional costs entirely.

“Consumers are not comfortable spending more in the current climate,” said Filkins.

The world’s biggest economy has fared well after the Covid-19 pandemic, helped by a solid labour market that allowed consumers to keep spending.

But economic growth has slowed alongside hiring.

Economists are monitoring to see if tariffs feed more broadly into inflation this northern summer, and households become more selective with purchases.

With Trump’s approach of announcing, adjusting, and halting tariffs rocking financial markets and fuelling uncertainty - forcing businesses to put investments on hold - Filkins hopes for an easing of levies.

“It’s hard for all of us to forecast what’s going to happen in the next eight days,” said Filkins. “We can’t base all of our decisions on speculation.”

-Agence France-Presse