A supporter waves a flag prior to a campaign rally for US President Donald Trump in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Photos / AP file
Murtice Sherek is not excited about Joe Biden.
The Minnesota Democrat, a 79-year-old retired nurse, preferred another candidate in the presidential primary. She also worries about Biden's age, 77.
But anxious about another four years of United States President Donald Trump, she says she's willing to go to any length to ensure Biden wins this November.
"I don't really give a damn what I have to do. If I have to carry signs on the streets, if I have to carry my old friends to the polls, I'll do it," Sherek said. "This just can't be. Trump is a sick man."
Roughly three months before Election Day, a new poll from AP-NORC Centre for Public Affairs Research finds that Biden's supporters are less enthusiastic than Trump's — both about the campaign itself and about their candidate — although the Democrat's coalition may be equally motivated by anxiety.
Still, the poll reveals an American public at odds with Trump on wearing masks, on balancing restrictions to stop the virus with efforts to help the economy and on fully reopening schools.
And voters give Biden higher marks on many positive traits that apply to leadership in the age of the coronavirus, including honesty, capability and caring for Americans.
An almost pathological inability to admit error. A penchant for magical thinking. A positive, self-reenforcing feedback loop from aides and Fox News. @PhilipRucker and I go inside Trump’s failure to grapple w coronavirus. https://t.co/g6DYTNP6dM
— Ashley Parker (@AshleyRParker) July 27, 2020
Sherek's assessment of the candidates highlights the nuanced motivations underlying the so-called enthusiasm gap, which has raised concerns among Biden's allies who worry the deficit could undermine his candidacy once voting begins.
While interest in the presidential campaign is high across the board, just 31 per cent of Biden supporters say they're excited, compared with 42 per cent of Trump supporters.
Biden's coalition is fuelled by more negative emotions: 72 per cent of Biden supporters, but 52 per cent of Trump supporters, say they feel anxious about the 2020 campaign. The same disparity exists for frustration with the election, 65 per cent for Biden supporters and 45 per cent for Trump's.
Trump's approval just slipped below 40% in the 538 averages for the first time since Jan. 2019:https://t.co/4ZojiNJkrL pic.twitter.com/j2YHrvVbUh
— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) July 27, 2020
Anya Kumar, an 18-year-old recent high school graduate from Columbia, Missouri, vowed to vote for Biden but conceded many of her young friends who oppose Trump don't feel much passion for the former vice-president. Many aren't even registered, she said.
"For the most part, people I know really just don't want Trump," Kumar said, acknowledging that she is motivated more by anxiety about Trump's re-election than genuine excitement about his Democratic rival. "If Biden doesn't win, that would suck."
Biden's team largely dismisses the idea of an enthusiasm gap. It says that with Trump's level of support shrinking, a greater share of energised supporters is left behind in the diminished pool.
Indeed, Trump's job approval in the new poll sits at 38 per cent, within the narrow range that has endured throughout his presidency but down from relative highs earlier this year.
Biden: “As we enter the height of election season, President Trump should assure us all that the White House will respect the independent authority of the FDA to decide, free from political pressure, if the vaccine is safe and effective.” https://t.co/Y9H6vRhCE6
— Jennifer Epstein (@jeneps) July 27, 2020
Just 32 per cent of voters approve of the way Trump is handling the pandemic, a low point that follows a steady decline from the outset of the crisis.
While Trump's supporters almost unanimously approve of his performance overall, two in 10 disapprove of his response to the pandemic.
Stacey Rogus, 43, a Republican from Glendale, Arizona, who works in the medical industry, admitted some concerns about Trump.
She says the President is narcissistic, doesn't act as "presidential" as she'd like and doesn't think before he speaks.
But Rogus is determined to vote for him a second time because of his economic policies and support for the US-Mexico border wall.
By 2 to 1, NC voters said the state was right to balk at Trump's insistence it go ahead with a full-on convention in the midst of a pandemic.https://t.co/CMIuTcdgTs
— Trip Gabriel (@tripgabriel) July 27, 2020
She also suspects that Trump's political opponents are exaggerating the threat of the coronavirus pandemic to hurt his re-election. She finds the timing of the outbreak "a little odd."
"He didn't make the virus," Rogus said. "If anything, maybe the Democrat Party created it just to make him look bad." (The Office of the Director of National Intelligence has ruled out the virus being human-made and noted that is the scientific consensus as well.)
The poll also found that voters generally prefer Biden's character and values.
About six in 10 registered voters say that values like "cares about people like you," "honest" and "strong leader" do not describe Trump well. By comparison, roughly the same majority say those characteristics describe Biden at least somewhat well.
Battleground polls in last few days:
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) July 27, 2020
AZ: Biden +4 via CNN
AZ: Biden +5 via NBC/Marist
FL: Biden +5 via CNN
FL: Biden +13 via Quinnipiac
MI: Biden +12 via CNN
MI: Biden +9 via Fox
MN: Biden +13 via Fox
NC: Biden +7 via NBC/Marist
PA: Biden +11 via Fox
TX: Biden +1 via Quinnipiac
And in considering whether the two are "capable" — a question that likely reflects voters' views of each man's mental acuity and ability to govern — fewer say that describes Trump than Biden at least somewhat well, 43 per cent versus 56 per cent.
Trump, who's 74, and his allies have made attacks against Biden's age and cognitive ability a centerpiece of their message.
Trump has an advantage on standing up for what he believes. Seventy per cent think this describes Trump at least somewhat well, including 54 per cent who think it describes him very well.
Sixty-three per cent think standing up for his beliefs describes Biden at least somewhat well, but just 36 per cent think it describes him very well.
More than 360 delegates, most of whom back Bernie Sanders, have signed on to a pledge to vote against the Democratic Party’s platform if it does not include support for "Medicare for All" https://t.co/plTis8uu9O
— POLITICO (@politico) July 27, 2020
Trump's supporters are much stronger in their positive descriptions of Trump than Biden backers are of their candidate.
For example, wide majorities of Trump supporters think "stands up for what he believes" (87 per cent), "strong leader" (75 per cent) and "capable" (76 per cent) describe the President very well.
Fewer Biden supporters think "standing up for what he believes" (63 per cent), "strong leader" (50 per cent) and "capable" (56 per cent) describe Biden very well.
ICYMI: How the political stars are aligning for progressives https://t.co/bXKkU45rkd
— Michael Cohen (@speechboy71) July 27, 2020
For Biden, a significant age gap within his coalition drives the lukewarm ratings. Older Biden supporters are much more likely than those under 45 to say such traits describe Biden very well.
Terrance Berinato, a 72-year-old Democrat from Front Royal, Virginia, who said he will definitely vote for Biden and describes Trump as "the worst president we've ever had, period."
He acknowledged that Trump supporters may be more excited about their candidate, but he predicted it wouldn't matter given that Trump's overall support is shrinking.
"I'm sure Trump supporters, the 30 per cent or 40 per cent of people who would follow him to hell, are very enthused," Berinato said.
- AP
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