NZ Herald
  • Home
  • Latest news
  • Herald NOW
  • Video
  • New Zealand
  • Sport
  • World
  • Business
  • Entertainment
  • Podcasts
  • Quizzes
  • Opinion
  • Lifestyle
  • Travel
  • Viva
  • Weather

Subscriptions

  • Herald Premium
  • Viva Premium
  • The Listener
  • BusinessDesk

Sections

  • Latest news
  • New Zealand
    • All New Zealand
    • Crime
    • Politics
    • Education
    • Open Justice
    • Scam Update
  • Herald NOW
  • On The Up
  • World
    • All World
    • Australia
    • Asia
    • UK
    • United States
    • Middle East
    • Europe
    • Pacific
  • Business
    • All Business
    • MarketsSharesCurrencyCommoditiesStock TakesCrypto
    • Markets with Madison
    • Media Insider
    • Business analysis
    • Personal financeKiwiSaverInterest ratesTaxInvestment
    • EconomyInflationGDPOfficial cash rateEmployment
    • Small business
    • Business reportsMood of the BoardroomProject AucklandSustainable business and financeCapital markets reportAgribusiness reportInfrastructure reportDynamic business
    • Deloitte Top 200 Awards
    • CompaniesAged CareAgribusinessAirlinesBanking and financeConstructionEnergyFreight and logisticsHealthcareManufacturingMedia and MarketingRetailTelecommunicationsTourism
  • Opinion
    • All Opinion
    • Analysis
    • Editorials
    • Business analysis
    • Premium opinion
    • Letters to the editor
  • Politics
  • Sport
    • All Sport
    • OlympicsParalympics
    • RugbySuper RugbyNPCAll BlacksBlack FernsRugby sevensSchool rugby
    • CricketBlack CapsWhite Ferns
    • Racing
    • NetballSilver Ferns
    • LeagueWarriorsNRL
    • FootballWellington PhoenixAuckland FCAll WhitesFootball FernsEnglish Premier League
    • GolfNZ Open
    • MotorsportFormula 1
    • Boxing
    • UFC
    • BasketballNBABreakersTall BlacksTall Ferns
    • Tennis
    • Cycling
    • Athletics
    • SailingAmerica's CupSailGP
    • Rowing
  • Lifestyle
    • All Lifestyle
    • Viva - Food, fashion & beauty
    • Society Insider
    • Royals
    • Sex & relationships
    • Food & drinkRecipesRecipe collectionsRestaurant reviewsRestaurant bookings
    • Health & wellbeing
    • Fashion & beauty
    • Pets & animals
    • The Selection - Shop the trendsShop fashionShop beautyShop entertainmentShop giftsShop home & living
    • Milford's Investing Place
  • Entertainment
    • All Entertainment
    • TV
    • MoviesMovie reviews
    • MusicMusic reviews
    • BooksBook reviews
    • Culture
    • ReviewsBook reviewsMovie reviewsMusic reviewsRestaurant reviews
  • Travel
    • All Travel
    • News
    • New ZealandNorthlandAucklandWellingtonCanterburyOtago / QueenstownNelson-TasmanBest NZ beaches
    • International travelAustraliaPacific IslandsEuropeUKUSAAfricaAsia
    • Rail holidays
    • Cruise holidays
    • Ski holidays
    • Luxury travel
    • Adventure travel
  • Kāhu Māori news
  • Environment
    • All Environment
    • Our Green Future
  • Talanoa Pacific news
  • Property
    • All Property
    • Property Insider
    • Interest rates tracker
    • Residential property listings
    • Commercial property listings
  • Health
  • Technology
    • All Technology
    • AI
    • Social media
  • Rural
    • All Rural
    • Dairy farming
    • Sheep & beef farming
    • Horticulture
    • Animal health
    • Rural business
    • Rural life
    • Rural technology
    • Opinion
    • Audio & podcasts
  • Weather forecasts
    • All Weather forecasts
    • Kaitaia
    • Whangārei
    • Dargaville
    • Auckland
    • Thames
    • Tauranga
    • Hamilton
    • Whakatāne
    • Rotorua
    • Tokoroa
    • Te Kuiti
    • Taumaranui
    • Taupō
    • Gisborne
    • New Plymouth
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Dannevirke
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Levin
    • Paraparaumu
    • Masterton
    • Wellington
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Blenheim
    • Westport
    • Reefton
    • Kaikōura
    • Greymouth
    • Hokitika
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
    • Wānaka
    • Oamaru
    • Queenstown
    • Dunedin
    • Gore
    • Invercargill
  • Meet the journalists
  • Promotions & competitions
  • OneRoof property listings
  • Driven car news

Puzzles & Quizzes

  • Puzzles
    • All Puzzles
    • Sudoku
    • Code Cracker
    • Crosswords
    • Cryptic crossword
    • Wordsearch
  • Quizzes
    • All Quizzes
    • Morning quiz
    • Afternoon quiz
    • Sports quiz

Regions

  • Northland
    • All Northland
    • Far North
    • Kaitaia
    • Kerikeri
    • Kaikohe
    • Bay of Islands
    • Whangarei
    • Dargaville
    • Kaipara
    • Mangawhai
  • Auckland
  • Waikato
    • All Waikato
    • Hamilton
    • Coromandel & Hauraki
    • Matamata & Piako
    • Cambridge
    • Te Awamutu
    • Tokoroa & South Waikato
    • Taupō & Tūrangi
  • Bay of Plenty
    • All Bay of Plenty
    • Katikati
    • Tauranga
    • Mount Maunganui
    • Pāpāmoa
    • Te Puke
    • Whakatāne
  • Rotorua
  • Hawke's Bay
    • All Hawke's Bay
    • Napier
    • Hastings
    • Havelock North
    • Central Hawke's Bay
    • Wairoa
  • Taranaki
    • All Taranaki
    • Stratford
    • New Plymouth
    • Hāwera
  • Manawatū - Whanganui
    • All Manawatū - Whanganui
    • Whanganui
    • Palmerston North
    • Manawatū
    • Tararua
    • Horowhenua
  • Wellington
    • All Wellington
    • Kapiti
    • Wairarapa
    • Upper Hutt
    • Lower Hutt
  • Nelson & Tasman
    • All Nelson & Tasman
    • Motueka
    • Nelson
    • Tasman
  • Marlborough
  • West Coast
  • Canterbury
    • All Canterbury
    • Kaikōura
    • Christchurch
    • Ashburton
    • Timaru
  • Otago
    • All Otago
    • Oamaru
    • Dunedin
    • Balclutha
    • Alexandra
    • Queenstown
    • Wanaka
  • Southland
    • All Southland
    • Invercargill
    • Gore
    • Stewart Island
  • Gisborne

Media

  • Video
    • All Video
    • NZ news video
    • Herald NOW
    • Business news video
    • Politics news video
    • Sport video
    • World news video
    • Lifestyle video
    • Entertainment video
    • Travel video
    • Markets with Madison
    • Kea Kids news
  • Podcasts
    • All Podcasts
    • The Front Page
    • On the Tiles
    • Ask me Anything
    • The Little Things
  • Cartoons
  • Photo galleries
  • Today's Paper - E-editions
  • Photo sales
  • Classifieds

NZME Network

  • Advertise with NZME
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • BusinessDesk
  • Newstalk ZB
  • Sunlive
  • ZM
  • The Hits
  • Coast
  • Radio Hauraki
  • The Alternative Commentary Collective
  • Gold
  • Flava
  • iHeart Radio
  • Hokonui
  • Radio Wanaka
  • iHeartCountry New Zealand
  • Restaurant Hub
  • NZME Events

SubscribeSign In
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Home / World

John Roughan: Brexit, Bush and other giant blunders

John Roughan
By John Roughan
Opinion Writer·NZ Herald·
1 Jul, 2016 05:00 PM5 mins to read

Subscribe to listen

Access to Herald Premium articles require a Premium subscription. Subscribe now to listen.
Already a subscriber?  Sign in here

Listening to articles is free for open-access content—explore other articles or learn more about text-to-speech.
‌
Save

    Share this article

Cameron had said before the vote he would stay and negotiate Britain's exit if necessary, but then decided it was properly a task for his successor, whoever that might be. Photo / AP

Cameron had said before the vote he would stay and negotiate Britain's exit if necessary, but then decided it was properly a task for his successor, whoever that might be. Photo / AP

John Roughan
Opinion by John Roughan
Former editorial writer and columnist, NZ Herald
Learn more
Democratic wrong turn has shaken both sides and left nation in tailspin.

The thing that struck me about England's monumental mistake is how rare it is that democracies make the wrong decision, and how remarkable it is that it doesn't happen much more often.

Remarkable, because the outcome is usually finely balanced. Elections and referendums are frequently decided by as little as 2 or 3 per cent of the voting population.

Opinion polls in the weeks and days heading to the vote warn that the result is on a knife edge but long experience has taught us not to worry. Common sense nearly always prevails, if only just.

The polls in Britain were giving Leave a slight lead in the final days but not many believed them, not even the leader of the UK Independence Party, Nigel Farage, who put out a statement on the eve of voting saying its campaign would carry on regardless. I wonder if the outcome of Scotland's independence referendum last year made everyone complacent, not just the young who didn't vote but also many of those who did.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Anyone who has been watching the BBC this week will have witnessed an unusual phenomenon of voting psychology. It has become common to see someone who voted Leave say, "I'm not sure it was the right decision" and even to confess they voted Leave because they thought it wouldn't win.

That is the psychology we used to call "protest voting" in the days when third parties had no chance. It is a vote for the purpose of participating, for registering a sentiment, an affiliation or an identity, rather than making a serious, dull, sensible decision. It is an indulgence that seems harmless when the election seems predictable.

Some English voters clearly did not realise the enormity of their decision last week until the morning after, when their Prime Minister announced he would step down. David Cameron was calm, realistic and even convincingly respectful of a decision he could not have respected. BBC presenters kept referring to his announcement as "emotional" but Cameron's upper lip had been stiff, it was the presenters, and their audience, they knew, who found it emotional.

Cameron had said before the vote he would stay and negotiate Britain's exit if necessary, but then decided it was properly a task for his successor, whoever that might be.

Not Boris Johnson it turns out. Johnson looked as shaken as anybody on the morning after. He read an erudite little speech he had written about his identity with Europe's culture if not its political over-reach. He didn't sound convinced by himself for once. Possibly he had discovered, too late, the difference between amusing himself and newspaper readers with clever pieces of writing, and being responsible for a country's future.

When a democracy regrets its decision at an election it can correct it at the next one. When it regrets a decision of this magnitude at a referendum, there is little prospect of reversing it.

Discover more

Opinion

John Roughan: To vape or not to vape, that's the question

03 Jun 05:00 PM
Opinion

Forget gender Hillary, win it on civility

10 Jun 05:00 PM
Opinion

John Roughan: Fed by hatred - why Isis loves Trump

17 Jun 05:00 PM
Opinion

John Roughan: Smart thinking to unclog roads

24 Jun 05:00 PM

Britain has not just lost an ideal economic position - access to a marketplace of half a billion people without the common currency that carries the only real threat to national sovereignty - it has lost its internal political bearings for the moment.

Its political parties are no longer sure what voters really want. About two thirds of MPs wanted to stay in the European Union. Labour even more than the Tories. Both parties know the country now needs another election to get a clearer sense of what the public wants, but first each party has to elect a leader who might be able to express whatever it is the public wants to do now.

Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

It is a good thing democratic mistakes of this magnitude are so rare because the country, and sometimes the world, lives with them for a long time. The United States made just such a mistake at its presidential election in 2000. But for a few disputed ballot papers in Florida we would not have had George W. Bush and the 2003 invasion of Iraq. That monumental blunder has had such a defining effect on the 21st century so far that we hardly bother wondering how better leadership would have responded to 9/11.

Even Britain's referendum result could be blamed on Bush if the spectre of refugees from the Middle East was really behind it. But France has been protecting Britain from that sort of immigration. Sadly the real resentment behind the Leave vote must have been the mingling of people that comes with the benefits of a bigger market.

Those of us who think of England as a sophisticated, cosmopolitan, culturally confident society are thinking of London, not the England of Nigel Farage. In fact there were always a lot of nauseating Nigels in England. If they are its dominant character now, Europe will be glad to see it go.

Save

    Share this article

Latest from World

World

Hurricane Erick hits Mexico, leaves destruction and flooding in wake

19 Jun 06:29 PM
WorldUpdated

'It will be hard': Aung San Suu Kyi's son on her 80th birthday in jail

19 Jun 06:16 PM
live
World

Trump confirms timeline for US strike on Iran decision

19 Jun 06:15 PM

Jono and Ben brew up a tea-fuelled adventure in Sri Lanka

sponsored
Advertisement
Advertise with NZME.

Latest from World

Hurricane Erick hits Mexico, leaves destruction and flooding in wake

Hurricane Erick hits Mexico, leaves destruction and flooding in wake

19 Jun 06:29 PM

Residents cleared debris and drained flooded streets after the storm.

'It will be hard': Aung San Suu Kyi's son on her 80th birthday in jail

'It will be hard': Aung San Suu Kyi's son on her 80th birthday in jail

19 Jun 06:16 PM
Trump confirms timeline for US strike on Iran decision
live

Trump confirms timeline for US strike on Iran decision

19 Jun 06:15 PM
‘Dictator Approved’ sculpture appears on Washington's National Mall

‘Dictator Approved’ sculpture appears on Washington's National Mall

19 Jun 06:00 PM
Help for those helping hardest-hit
sponsored

Help for those helping hardest-hit

NZ Herald
  • About NZ Herald
  • Meet the journalists
  • Newsletters
  • Classifieds
  • Help & support
  • Contact us
  • House rules
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of use
  • Competition terms & conditions
  • Our use of AI
Subscriber Services
  • NZ Herald e-editions
  • Daily puzzles & quizzes
  • Manage your digital subscription
  • Manage your print subscription
  • Subscribe to the NZ Herald newspaper
  • Subscribe to Herald Premium
  • Gift a subscription
  • Subscriber FAQs
  • Subscription terms & conditions
  • Promotions and subscriber benefits
NZME Network
  • The New Zealand Herald
  • The Northland Age
  • The Northern Advocate
  • Waikato Herald
  • Bay of Plenty Times
  • Rotorua Daily Post
  • Hawke's Bay Today
  • Whanganui Chronicle
  • Viva
  • NZ Listener
  • Newstalk ZB
  • BusinessDesk
  • OneRoof
  • Driven Car Guide
  • iHeart Radio
  • Restaurant Hub
NZME
  • About NZME
  • NZME careers
  • Advertise with NZME
  • Digital self-service advertising
  • Book your classified ad
  • Photo sales
  • NZME Events
  • © Copyright 2025 NZME Publishing Limited
TOP