While he won't rule out tides completely, he says history shows other seismic events play more of a role in triggering future earthquakes.
Because of this he wants to urge future researchers to focus their resources on minimalising the impact of earthquakes, instead of predicting them.
He says scientists know that giant subduction zones can generate a magnitude nine earthquake, so predicting them won't prevent fatalities.
"Rather than trying to put a date on the calendar we need to keep in mind there have been many, many full moons, many, many new moons without any earthquakes at all... we need to be focusing on things like better sea walls, better avoidance zones from hazards, and better engineering needs to be the priority."