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Home / World

Cyclone Alfred: Experts warn delayed arrival could mean longer-lasting impacts

Benjamin Plummer
By Benjamin Plummer
Multimedia Journalist·NZ Herald·
5 Mar, 2025 08:45 PM5 mins to read

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Millions of people in Queensland and New South Wales have been warned to brace for days without power after Tropical Cyclone Alfred makes landfall later this week.
  • Tropical Cyclone Alfred‘s arrival has been delayed with experts warning it could mean an extension in the storm’s impact.
  • 10,000 prepare-to-evacuate orders have been sent to NSW homes as the region braces for “devastating” weather including 150km/h winds.
  • Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese deployed the Defence Force as schools and public transport close.

Experts are warning the impacts of Tropical Cyclone Alfred are likely to last longer as it lingers off the coast of Brisbane, delaying its dreaded arrival.

Modelling for the cyclone, currently at a category 2, shows nearly 20,000 homes in Brisbane alone could be impacted by flooding or inundation.

NSW SES Deputy Commissioner Debbie Platz told ABC 10,000 prepare to evacuate orders have been issued. She also said they have already received 4000 calls for assistance, mostly for sandbagging.

More than half a metre of rain is tipped for large areas of Queensland and New South Wales, along with flooding, destructive winds, storm surge and coastal inundation.

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Tropical #CycloneAlfred will continue its approach towards the #SEQld coast, with the far western edge already impacting the coast from about Coolangatta to Ballina.

The centre of Alfred is expected to cross the coast during Friday.

Latest: https://t.co/4KFWWiahr3 pic.twitter.com/1vZ0jfCytO

— Bureau of Meteorology, Australia (@BOM_au) March 5, 2025

ABC reported that destructive wind gusts of up to 155km/h are expected to develop along the south-east Queensland coast from Coolangatta to Ballina.

Gales of up to 120km/h are already striking the coastline with heavy rain in some areas.

Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology told ABC the damaging cyclone slowed down overnight, delaying the time of impact until tomorrow afternoon.

Senior forecaster Gabriel Branescu said the cyclone is still coming but is now expected to hit at 4pm on Friday.

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Tropical Cyclone Alfred‘s arrival has been delayed with experts warning it could mean an extension in the storm’s impact. Photo / Windy
Tropical Cyclone Alfred‘s arrival has been delayed with experts warning it could mean an extension in the storm’s impact. Photo / Windy

ABC reported that the delay of the cyclone may increase its impact and “make it last longer”.

A newly released map shows the cyclone tracking directly towards Brisbane, with experts warning the centre could extend as far as Cape Byron, 168km away.

Kiwis brace for damaging cyclone, water scarce

A New Zealand family among the millions of people on Australia’s East Coast bracing for the arrival of the tropical cyclone say they haven’t been able to buy water for days due to panic buying.

Kiwi expat Pania Reiri-Smith, who moved to Brisbane with her husband and four children just over two years ago, said she had been trying to buy water for several days without success.

“We were told on Sunday that there was going to be a cyclone so we nonchalantly started to get a few things in preparation,” Reiri-Smith said.

Tropical Cyclone Alfred is bearing down on the Queensland coast. Photo / JMA
Tropical Cyclone Alfred is bearing down on the Queensland coast. Photo / JMA

“Upon arrival at the supermarket that day and seeing that people had already panic bought, it started to instil a bit of panic in us.”

The family from Wairarapa are living in Springwood, a suburb in Logan City in Southeast Queensland that is roughly 45 minutes from the East Coast but directly in the path of Tropical Cyclone Alfred.

Reiri-Smith said she arrived at her local supermarket just after it opened on Wednesday morning and it was “packed”.

“It was so sad because the entire place was packed, the water had already run out and the bread had nearly run out. All of the cheaper foods had already sold out so people are either having to rely on what they have or had to buy expensive brands,” she said.

She said the family had six one-litre bottles of water to share between the six of them.

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Empty shelves in Coles Supermarket in the Brisbane suburb of Newmarket, where people have been panic buying ahead of Tropical Cyclone Alfred. Photo /  NewsWire, John Gass
Empty shelves in Coles Supermarket in the Brisbane suburb of Newmarket, where people have been panic buying ahead of Tropical Cyclone Alfred. Photo / NewsWire, John Gass

“It’s a little bit different when it’s only yourself, but when you’ve got to cater for your family it hits home a little bit more.”

Reiri-Smith, a substitute teacher, said schools would close for the rest of the week from today and that her children were getting “a little bit panicky”.

“It is feeling a little bit eerie, we’ve got a little bit of wind and there’s been a little bit of rain... but we’re hearing that there are 17m swells and that’s a little bit disconcerting.

“We’ve already gone and put everything away outside and barricaded it with heavy furniture... We’ve done everything we can so now we’re just having to wait.”

Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology told ABC the damaging cyclone slowed down overnight, delaying the time of impact until tomorrow afternoon.  Photo / Bureau of Meteorology
Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology told ABC the damaging cyclone slowed down overnight, delaying the time of impact until tomorrow afternoon. Photo / Bureau of Meteorology

Local media has reported public transport services and elective surgeries are set to be cancelled on Thursday and Friday in areas within the impact zone. Hundreds of schools in Queensland and New South Wales would also close for the rest of the week.

News.com.au reported Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese had deployed the Australian Defence Force, including troops and vehicles, to assist as the cyclone approaches the Queensland coastline.

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Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has deployed the Australian Defence Force to assist as the cyclone approaches Queensland. Photo / Mark Coote
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has deployed the Australian Defence Force to assist as the cyclone approaches Queensland. Photo / Mark Coote

“This is a serious weather event, with heavy rain, destructive winds, and major flooding expected,” Albanese said.

“To everyone in the warning zone, please stay informed, follow advice from emergency services, and take the necessary precautions to keep yourself and your family safe.”

A Sikorsky S-61 had been sent to Coffs Harbour and a US 60 Black Hawk would divert to Bundaberg over the coming days, News.com.au reported.

Queensland police said 176 officers and recruits were deployed to the Gold Coast yesterday to monitor the evolving situation and determine whether additional personnel would be required.

Gold Coast Airport took to social media to announce its closure from 4pm (AEST) on Wednesday in response to the cyclone. Multiple flights have also been suspended or cancelled.

Gold Coast’s Acting Mayor Donna Gates urged residents not to leave their homes after 6pm yesterday, with flooding expected to start.

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“This looks like the most significant event in our city in terms of destructive winds and heavy rain that we’ve seen since 1954,” Gates said.

“Let me reiterate that this is going to be a very widespread event, and the modelling shows for the canal estates, just as it does for anyone on a dry residential block.”

Benjamin Plummer is an Auckland-based reporter who covers breaking news. He has worked for the Herald since 2022.

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