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Home / World

Change in Germany: Leading candidates to replace Merkel

By Rick Noack analysis
Washington Post·
29 Oct, 2018 10:31 PM4 mins to read

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German Christian Democratic Party (CDU) chairwoman and Chancellor Angela Merkel, right, talks to Secretary General Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer. Photo / AP

German Christian Democratic Party (CDU) chairwoman and Chancellor Angela Merkel, right, talks to Secretary General Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer. Photo / AP

Young people in Germany can scarcely remember a time before Angela Merkel, 64, was their Chancellor.

But after 13 years in power, she has announced that she is handing over the leadership of her Christian Democratic Party (CDU) and will not run for re-election as Chancellor in 2021.

The announcement will end her 18-year run as the leader of Germany's mainstream conservative party. The CDU may push her to resign as Chancellor earlier.

Whoever replaces Merkel as party chairman or chairwoman has a good shot at becoming the next German chancellor. So, who are the likely contenders?

Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer

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Kramp-Karrenbauer appears to be Merkel's preferred successor, which hasn't surprised her party companions who have for months referred to her as "Mini-Merkel".

As Merkel's power within her own party is fading, being so closely associated with the Chancellor could still disrupt Kramp-Karrenbauer's plans to take over as party leader.

Kramp-Karrenbauer is eight years younger than Merkel and - just like Merkel - stands for the party's moderate wing.

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Kramp-Karrenbauer became minister-president of the federal state of Saarland in 2011 and remained in power until this year, when she was named the CDU's general secretary. Her appointment has always made her a likely contender in any future leadership vote.

A possible failure of Merkel to install Kramp-Karrenbauer as her successor would be seen as yet another defeat for the Chancellor.

Jens Spahn

The 38-year old politician represents the party's right-wing faction and has sought to position himself as a possible Merkel successor for some time.

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Spahn announced that he was ready to succeed Merkel as party leader today, multiple German media outlets reported.

His supporters argue that Spahn's appointment as party leader would mark a generational change and a true end of the Merkel era, which critics have associated with a lack of inner-party discourse and an embrace of issues traditionally more associated with liberal or left-wing parties.

Under Merkel, the CDU adopted or accepted liberal positions on immigration, same-sex marriage and phasing out nuclear power plants - even though some of those stances were later reversed.

A Spahn appointment would likely result in a right-wing turn of the CDU. But it would also be seen as an affront against Merkel.

Merkel loyalists would be unlikely to vote for Spahn, who would have to compete with other Merkel critics for the remaining votes.

Friedrich Merz

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The 62-year-old lawyer was not necessarily a top contender as a Merkel successor but was widely discussed as a potential replacement after he put himself forward shortly after the chancellor announced she was ready to hand over the leadership position.

Merz used to be the head of the conservative parliamentary group, but he has never held a ministerial office.

Merz was forced out of his leadership position in 2002 after Merkel rose to power, which disgruntled a number of his allies at the time.

The former leading conservative left politics about a decade ago to work as a lawyer and board member of multiple financial enterprises and banks.

Gracious but omnious headline from Germany's major left-of-center newspaper on Merkel's announcement: "We'll come to miss her". https://t.co/pI1orqYL9m

— Tobias Schneider (@tobiaschneider) October 29, 2018

Armin Laschet

The 57-year-old minister-president of the federal state of North Rhine-Westphalia is frequently put forward as a possible Merkel replacement by his allies, even though Laschet has refrained from making such suggestions himself.

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It is unclear whether he would be willing to resign as minister-president to accept a top role in Berlin.

But as the head of Germany's most populous state, Laschet has gained substantial government experience.

The leader of the CDU's frequent coalition partner, Christian Lindner, is considered to also be supportive of Laschet.

And his long-standing support for the chancellor could help him gain at least some votes of Merkel allies.

Merkel's long goodbye will be severe test for troubled continent https://t.co/F0sZ9lTBU6

— The Guardian (@guardian) October 29, 2018

Angela Merkel: A career in pictures https://t.co/errCq7dr1v

— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) October 29, 2018

Angela Merkel is quitting while she’s ahead from an economic perspective. A look at her legacy in five charts (and a map) https://t.co/gvjutp9GqG pic.twitter.com/gxO8YHIixT

— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) October 29, 2018
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